Daily BriefsHealthcare

Daily Brief Health Care: Shenzhen Kangtai Biological Pr, CSL Ltd, Shanghai United Imaging Health and more

In today’s briefing:

  • China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.15) – Anti-Corruption Turnaround? Vaccine Policy Changes, Kangtai Bio
  • CSL Ltd (CSL AU): Banking on Strong Growth in Immunoglobulin Franchise on Record Plasma Collection
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 23:  US$2.8bn One-Way; Might Be Time for a Basket Trade


China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.15) – Anti-Corruption Turnaround? Vaccine Policy Changes, Kangtai Bio

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The National Health Commission and The People’s Daily made “mild” statements about anti-corruption in China healthcare, bringing investors “new hope”. However, there could be a “misconception” regarding the anti-corruption movement. 
  • There was news that some type 2 vaccines could be converted to type 1 vaccines. Even though some vaccines will be affected by this policy, others will not.
  • Kangtai’s had strong 23H1 net profit, but it has little investment value due to lack of core R&D strength.Kangtai’s vaccines face the risk of being included in national immunization program.

CSL Ltd (CSL AU): Banking on Strong Growth in Immunoglobulin Franchise on Record Plasma Collection

By Tina Banerjee

  • CSL Ltd (CSL AU) expects strong growth in immunoglobulin franchise to continue following record plasma collections. Optimizing plasma collection costs, improving yields, and new products launches should support margin recovery.
  • In June 2023, first patient has received Hemgenix in the U.S. With global annual peak sales estimate of $2.4B in 2030, Hemgenix is a compelling opportunity for CSL.
  • CSL Seqirus is anticipated to deliver another strong year driven by demand for its differentiated products. The company began influenza vaccine shipment across the U.S. for 2023–24 influenza season.

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Dec 23:  US$2.8bn One-Way; Might Be Time for a Basket Trade

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in December 2023.
  • Our latest estimates show that the combined one-way flow for CSI 300 and CSI 500 could be around US$2.8bn.

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