Daily BriefsHealthcare

Daily Brief Health Care: JD Health, Alphamab Co Ltd, M3 Inc, Lotus Pharmaceutical and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate
  • Alphamab Co Ltd Placement (9966.HK) – Has No Potential to Be a Biopharma; Just Remain as a Biotech
  • M3: Slow Down in Pharma Marketing a Significant Downside Risk
  • Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT): 2022 Ends with Mid-Teen Revenue Growth; Further Steam Still Left

Quiddity Leaderboard for Hang Seng Index Mar 23: Healthcare Names Could Dominate

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the Hang Seng Index (HSI INDEX) in March 2023.
  • We believe Healthcare names could be given top priority when selecting additions for the upcoming rebalance.
  • The final index changes along with indicative capping and index weights could be published in Mid/Late-February 2023 and implemented in early-March 2023.

Alphamab Co Ltd Placement (9966.HK) – Has No Potential to Be a Biopharma; Just Remain as a Biotech

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Unlike ADC, there’re still doubts on the outlook of whole bispecific antibody mechanism. Alphamab Oncology doesn’t actively promote related head-to-head trials, which makes people doubt the competitiveness of its products.
  • Investors’ trust in Alphamab Oncology continues to decline, mainly because the Company often missed the guidance/milestones it announced before. This will greatly affect the credibility of Alphamab Oncology.
  • The current valuation is expensive and has basically priced in all the positive factors. The Company is more suitable for short-term trading to capture the rebound rather than long-term holding.

M3: Slow Down in Pharma Marketing a Significant Downside Risk

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • M3 Inc (2413 JP) reported 3QFY03/2023 earnings today. Revenue increased 12.6% YoY to JPY64.6bn (vs consensus JPY62.6bn) while OP decreased 3.0% YoY to JPY22.0bn (vs consensus JPY22.8bn).
  • In line with our expectation, m3 has mentioned that it expects pharma marketing revenues to slow down with pharmaceutical companies cutting down their budgets.
  • Though m3 has made a large no. of M&A deals to pursue growth, we have not seen extraordinary growth in overseas biz and think there is significant downside risk.

Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT): 2022 Ends with Mid-Teen Revenue Growth; Further Steam Still Left

By Tina Banerjee

  • Lotus Pharmaceutical (1795 TT) ended 2022 on a strong note. Full-year 2022 revenue grew 15.7% YoY to NT$14.6B. 2022 was the third consecutive year that Lotus achieved double-digit annual growth.
  • The export markets outside of Asia grew 28% YoY, largely contributed by the launch of multiple myeloma drug lenalidomide in a number of markets around the world, including the U.S.
  • In December, Lotus took over the Eli Lily’s Alimta business in Taiwan for $62M. Alimta is a first-line treatment for NSCLC with high brand loyalty.

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