In today’s briefing:
- EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Assessing the Wide Spread
- Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 22: Massive Baskets, US$2.5bn One-Way
- Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Strong Momentum in 2Q23- Revenue Up 33%; Net Profit Jumps 22%
- Takeda: Earnings Beat Driven by Key Drugs and Dengue Vaccine Seeing Positive Momentum
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EOFLOW/Medtronic Tender: Assessing the Wide Spread
- Medtronic Plc (MDT US) aims to acquire Eoflow (294090 KS) through share purchase agreements (SPA), a share subscription agreement (SSA) and a public tender offer at KRW30,000.
- Since the deal announcement on 26 May, the spread has widened, reflecting deal risk around patent litigation risk, regulatory approvals and the minimum acceptance condition.
- Our assessment of these risks suggests a low probability of a deal break. At the last close, the gross spread is an attractive 8.5%.
Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Dec 22: Massive Baskets, US$2.5bn One-Way
- CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
- In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in December 2023.
- I currently expect 13 ADDs/DELs for CSI 300 and 50 ADDs/DELs for CSI 500.
Samsung Biologics (207940 KS): Strong Momentum in 2Q23- Revenue Up 33%; Net Profit Jumps 22%
- Samsung Biologics (207940 KS) reported record-high revenue and operating profit of KRW866 billion and KRW253 billion, up 33% and 49%, YoY, respectively in 2Q23, aided by contract signing spree.
- With continued orders from the leading global pharmas, the company’s total cumulative CMO contracts reached to $11.3B in July, up 19% from $9.5B at the end of 2022.
- Outlook for H2 is more positive with revenue from Plant 4 will be reflected from Q3. Two new biosimilars launch in the U.S. and EU will also add to revenue.
Takeda: Earnings Beat Driven by Key Drugs and Dengue Vaccine Seeing Positive Momentum
- Takeda Pharmaceutical (4502 JP) reported 1QFY03/2024 results today. Revenue increased 8.9% YoY to ¥1,058.6bn (vs consensus ¥989.8bn) while OP increased 12.0% YoY to ¥168.6bn (vs consensus ¥123.5bn).
- The topline growth was driven by growth & launch products which accounted for 40% of total revenues, and increased 16.2% YoY during the quarter at constant exchange rates.
- Takeda is expecting 7-8 key regulatory decisions during the current fiscal year and we expect dengue vaccine and other new launches to help offset revenue loss from upcoming patent expiry.