In today’s briefing:
- FXI Rebalance Preview: One Potential Change in December
- Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078.HK) – A Decline in Growth Is Inevitable
- Healius Taps The Market. ACL Should Walk
- Newron Pharmaceuticals – Key Evenamide readouts on the horizon
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FXI Rebalance Preview: One Potential Change in December
- With the review period complete, BeiGene (6160 HK) could replace Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK) in the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US) in December.
- There will be over 2 days of ADV to buy in BeiGene (6160 HK) and nearly 2 days of ADV to sell in Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK).
- Short interest has been increasing in BeiGene (6160 HK) and dropping in Anhui Conch Cement (914 HK) over the last few months.
Hygeia Healthcare Group (6078.HK) – A Decline in Growth Is Inevitable
- Hygeia’s asset-heavy model leads to a situation of expense “front-loading” and profit “back-loading”.Management’s attitude towards profit is “thought-provoking”.It’s best for investors not to have high hope for Hygeia’s profit margin.
- Hygeia can maintain 30%+ growth in short term, but revenue growth could fall to 15-20% in the future due to lack of high-quality M&A targets and uncertainties brought by anti-corruption.
- Revenue forecast is about RMB4 billion in 2023 and RMB5-5.5 billion in 2024. P/E of 30-40 is reasonable range at this stage, which would drop afterwards. Current valuation is expensive.
Healius Taps The Market. ACL Should Walk
- Back on the 20 March, Australian Clinical Labs (ACL AU) announced a merger proposal for Healius (HLS AU), the completion of which would create Australia’s largest pathology provider.
- In its Target Statement on the 4 May, Healius’ board unanimously recommended that Healius shareholders reject the Offer. A forthcoming ACCC decision may also conclude a merger is verboten.
- Now Healius has announced a “capital restructure reset” via issuing new shares at $1.20/share, a hefty 34.6% discount to last close. This breaches a number of prescribed occurrences.
Newron Pharmaceuticals – Key Evenamide readouts on the horizon
Newron is a Swiss Stock Exchange SIX-listed (NWRN) biopharmaceutical company focused on developing novel medicines for diseases of the central nervous system. The company’s marketed product, Xadago (or safinamide), is an add-on therapy to levodopa for the management of Parkinson’s disease, and continues to drive top-line revenues.