In today’s briefing:
- Suruga Bank (8358 JP) – New Div, New Buyback, New KPIs, New 6yr High Price
- Great Eagle Seeks To Delist Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)
- Baba’s Babies: Co-Parenting Works! Zhong An Online P&C Insurance
- H&T Group (HAT): Core franchise build, short-term retail noise
- Crypto Moves #22 – The 2024 Bitcoin Halving Will Be A ‘Buy the Rumor, Sell the News’ Event
- Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Indika Energy, Vedanta Resources
Suruga Bank (8358 JP) – New Div, New Buyback, New KPIs, New 6yr High Price
- 10+ Months ago, Suruga Bank Ltd (8358 JP) announced it would sell a large chunk of its treasury shares to Credit Saison and would then buy back ¥22bn of stock.
- I liked the odds in Suruga Bank (8358) To Sell, Then Buy Back 17% of the Bank, but HOW Is Key. They spent the ¥22bn. The stock rose a lot.
- Today, we get a div hike for H2 (implying a div hike for this year too), another buyback, a huge share cancellation, and new KPIs. As always, details matter.
Great Eagle Seeks To Delist Langham Hospitality (1270 HK)
- Hong Kong hotel-play Langham Hospitality (1270 HK) was spun-off from Great Eagle (41 HK) on the 30 May 2013. Now GE intends to take the company back into the fold.
- Covid was devastating to the hospitality sector. As were the 2019 demonstrations. Langham’s share price never recovered, and is currently trading at a lifetime low and a P/B of 0.21x.
- No price was mentioned in the announcement. Expect a healthy premium to undisturbed, should a firm Offer unfold. But I wouldn’t expect a knockout price.
Baba’s Babies: Co-Parenting Works! Zhong An Online P&C Insurance
- ZhongAn Online P&C Insurance C (6060 HK) is benefiting from the cross-selling opportunities generated through the eco-systems of Alibaba Group Holding (9988 HK) and Tencent (700 HK), its parent companies
- Largest solely online insurance company in China with Rmb 30B gross premiums written in 2023.
- Expertise and cross-selling from Ping An Insurance (H) (2318 HK) , another parent company with a jointly run auto insurance business.
H&T Group (HAT): Core franchise build, short-term retail noise
- In our 15 March 2023 initiation, ‘Pawnbroking royalty, with strong, profitable growth’, and subsequent notes, we have highlighted the strong market for pawnbroking and why H&T, as the market leader, is uniquely placed to take advantage of these opportunities.
- These results reconfirmed both, with the pledge book up 28% and net pawnbroking revenue up 36%.
- Like many in the retail space, H&T faced the challenge of customers focusing on lower-value, lower-margin items in the key run-up to Christmas 2023.
Crypto Moves #22 – The 2024 Bitcoin Halving Will Be A ‘Buy the Rumor, Sell the News’ Event
- We are swiftly approaching the fourth Bitcoin halving, which is expected to take place at block number 840,000.
- Currently, the network has reached a block height of approximately 837,700.
- Bitcoin experiences a halving event every 210,000 blocks.
Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , Indika Energy, Vedanta Resources
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.