In today’s briefing:
- Indian Banks Screener to December-End 2022: Credit Risks Rising
- Inter & Co (INTR US) – No More StoneCo Stake Overhang, but the Fundamental Outlook Remains Tough
- Moody’s Corp: Acquisition Of SCRiesgo & Other Drivers
Indian Banks Screener to December-End 2022: Credit Risks Rising
- Our Indian bank profitability and credit quality screens, in terms of credit quality metrics to end-December 2022, continued in a constructive trend
- This is reflected in NPA ratios and cost of risk trends; but Indian banks have to face increased NPA headwinds, especially if funding and liquidity tightens around Adani Group companies
- We remain negative on State Bank of India, especially given the concerns around the Adani Group, and also ICICI Bank; we remain positive on higher quality HDFC Bank
Inter & Co (INTR US) – No More StoneCo Stake Overhang, but the Fundamental Outlook Remains Tough
- StoneCo has disposed of its remaining 4.2% stake in Inter &Co, slamming the door shut on plans for a leading Brazilian neobank-paytech partnership originally announced in May 2021
- Stone acquired 5% of Inter for BRL2.5bn in June 2021; the extent of the fintech market malaise means that currently BRL2.5bn (c USD500m) would buy close to 50% of Inter
- This StoneCo stake disposal at least removes the Inter shares’ overhang risk; yet despite this technical relief, we reiterate that Inter’s fundamental outlook remains a challenging one
Moody’s Corp: Acquisition Of SCRiesgo & Other Drivers
- Moody’s delivered a strong result in the quarter with an all-around beat and a major update with respect to the acquisition of SCRiesgo to expand its presence in Latin America.
- This quarter demonstrates the resilience and positive momentum of Moody’s Analytics (MA) and also reflects the impact of the challenging market situations on Moody’s Investor Services (MIS).
- Across MA, Moody’s enhanced several workflow offerings via analytics and data integration, creating new products to meet rising consumer needs.
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