Daily BriefsFinancials

Daily Brief Financials: SBI Holdings, Evergrande, Kasikornbank PCL, Alibaba Group, XP Inc, Hong Kong Hang Seng Index, Seazen (Formerly Future Land) and more

In today’s briefing:

  • JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2023: End-Jan 2023
  • Evergrande : Not Legit
  • Kasikornbank PCL (KBANK TB) – Replanting the Seeds of Growth
  • Aequitas ASEAN Placements Bookrunner Performance (2019-2022)
  • XP (XP US) – Despite the Share Price De-Rating, Better Value to Be Found Elsewhere
  • China’s Green Loan Market: Fifty Shades of Green
  • Morning Views Asia:

JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebal 2023: End-Jan 2023

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • JPX-Nikkei 400 is composed of common stocks listed on the Tokyo Stock Exchange. It is a free-float-adjusted market-value-weighted (capped) index composed of 400 constituents.
  • A periodic review is conducted by the Index providers, the JPX Group and Nikkei Inc, in August every year. We look at the potential forward inclusions and removals every month.
  • Below is a look at potential Inclusions and Removals for the JPX-Nikkei 400 Rebalance to come in August 2023 based on trading data as of end-January 2023.

Evergrande : Not Legit

By Warut Promboon

  • The company has defaulted since 2021 and has already missed a few payments as well as the deadline to deliver a restructuring blueprint at the end of 2022.
  • We believe the Chinese government is looking now to rescue developers (such as Country Garden) which are seen as systemically important.  
  • We are of the opinion that the sector is not investable for the general public  in 2023 and only the Distressed specialists should endeavor investing in Chinese high-yield property developers.

Kasikornbank PCL (KBANK TB) – Replanting the Seeds of Growth

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Kasikornbank PCL (KBANK TB) remains one of Thailand’s top-tier banks with particular strength in SME lending and consumer lending making it a beneficiary of both consumption and tourism recovery. 
  • The bank continues to grow its digital banking and business through its K PLUS app which now has more than 21m users, with multiple use cases and self-apply loan applications. 
  • Kasikornbank remains a core holding for exposure to Thailand’s tourism-driven recovery through its SME exposure. Valuations are attractive with the bank trading at 0.7x FY2023 PBV and 8.3% FY2023E ROE. 

Aequitas ASEAN Placements Bookrunner Performance (2019-2022)

By Ethan Aw

  • In this note, we will take a look at the performance of bookrunners for ASEAN placements from 2019-2022.
  • The following dataset includes all ASEAN placements above US$100m for the period of Calendar Years 2019-2022, which amounted to a total of 54 deals.
  • The deals you see in this note are based on our historical placements tracker. Feel free to drop us a message for additional information on any of these placements.

XP (XP US) – Despite the Share Price De-Rating, Better Value to Be Found Elsewhere

By Victor Galliano

  • After last year, XP screens better versus its global wealth manager and broker peer group on most valuation metrics, yet we remain concerned about share overhang and the competitive climate
  • Itausa’s NAV discount is narrow, a potential sell signal; Itausa has historically provided discounted exposure to its second largest holding XP, but its XP exposure is now heavily diluted
  • The global wealth manager screen indicates that UK wealth manager Quilter stands out for its value attributes, especially on PE, market capitalisation to revenue and AUM to market capitalisation ratios

China’s Green Loan Market: Fifty Shades of Green

By Stanley Tsai, CFA

  • The PBOC has extended the use of its policy tools to support the green loan industry as part of the country’s’ drive towards carbon neutrality.
  • China’s green loan market is already the largest in the world, if you agree with its definitions and can look past its limitations.
  • The state of green finance matters to investors, and not just those with explicit ESG mandates. We look at the potential pitfalls in the China.

Morning Views Asia:

By Charles Macgregor

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


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