In today’s briefing:
- Rakuten Bank (5838) IPO – Post-IPO Trading Volume Decay and RB’s Place Among Banks (Part 3)
- Big Yuexiu Property (123 HK) Rights Issue – 3 Capital Actions from Here to Mid-June
- Yuexiu Property (123 HK): US$1.1bn Dilutive and Unnecessary Rights Issue
- Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Riding a Digital Wave
- Bank of Nova Scotia: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
- Morning Views Asia: Renewable Energy Group, Sands China, Shui On Land, Vedanta Resources
- The Binance Effect
Rakuten Bank (5838) IPO – Post-IPO Trading Volume Decay and RB’s Place Among Banks (Part 3)
- To look at the Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) IPO and how trading and pricing may occur, some are looking at SBI Sumishin Net Bank (7163 JP).
- To understand the movements of SBI Sumishin Net Bank, it may help to look at other IPOs in Japan and how they trade post-IPO.
- I looked at the last 200+ IPOs in Japan to understand volume decay and price evolution. It leads to suggestions for investors regarding Rakuten Bank.
Big Yuexiu Property (123 HK) Rights Issue – 3 Capital Actions from Here to Mid-June
- After being halted this morning before the start of trade, post-close, Yuexiu Property (123 HK) announced a fully-underwritten Rights Offering.
- The Rights Offering intends to raise HK$8.36bn issuing 30 Rights for every 100 Shares held, at a subscription price of HK$9.00, a 23.3% discount to TERP.
- This will take a moderately-levered property/services/leaseco and add more capital to it. Not terribly bullish. Looks opportunistic. And one has to look through 3 capital actions to see dividends ahead.
Yuexiu Property (123 HK): US$1.1bn Dilutive and Unnecessary Rights Issue
- Yuexiu Property (123 HK) will raise US$1.1bn through a rights offering – 30 rights shares for every 100 existing shares. The subscription price is HK$9.00, a 23.3% discount to TERP.
- As Yuexiu is in no danger of breaching the three red lines, the rights issue is an opportunistic play on capitalising on the strong share price run.
- Rights shares will be entitled to the final and special dividend announced on 15 March. Shares go ex-rights on 2 May and the rights start trading on 15 May.
Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Riding a Digital Wave
- Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) released a well-balanced set of results with some pressure on NIMs more than offset by higher loan yields, lower credit risk, and great cost efficiency.
- The rapid and widespread adoption of the Livin’ app for new customers and onboarding customers has positively impacted efficiencies and helped gather more CASA.
- Bank Mandiri Persero (BMRI IJ) is optimistic about the outlook for 2023 with loans expected to grow +10%-12% with table NIMs and lower credit costs.
Bank of Nova Scotia: Initiation of Coverage – Business Strategy & Key Drivers
- This is our first report on the Bank of Nova Scotia, one of Canada’s Big Five multinational banking and financial service companies.
- Although banking revenues increased by a solid 11%, overall revenues were down 1% year over year due to reduced noninterest income.
- Mortgage lending increased by 7% while commercial loans increased by 22%, bringing loan growth to 9% year over year.
Morning Views Asia: Renewable Energy Group, Sands China, Shui On Land, Vedanta Resources
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.
The Binance Effect
- The events of the last few months, namely the relentless regulatory enforcement and the banking crisis have upended crypto exchange market structure.
- During a bear market, consolidation among exchanges is expected.
- However, as the SEC targets specific exchanges and leave some cutoff from USD payment rails, many exchanges have been left at a competitive disadvantage.
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