In today’s briefing:
- Newcrest/Newmont & Potential S&P/ASX Changes
- HDFC Bank – 1st Results After Amalgamation | Dupont Analysis For Comparatives | Credit Cost Decline
- Asirvad Micro Finance Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- Russell 2000 With Bullish Breadth Divergences; Buys in Insurance and Health Care Distributors
- Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , NagaCorp Ltd, Road King Infrastructure
Newcrest/Newmont & Potential S&P/ASX Changes
- Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) shares stop trading after the close on 26 October and Newmont Mining (NEM US) CDIs will start trading from the open on 27 October.
- Newmont Mining (NEM US) CDIs should replace Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) in the S&P/ASX indices from 27 October. But there could be index changes at the subsequent rebalances.
- Based on the case of Block (SQ2 AU), we could see Newmont Mining (NEM US) CDIs deleted from the ASX20 Index in December and from the ASX50 Index in March/June.
HDFC Bank – 1st Results After Amalgamation | Dupont Analysis For Comparatives | Credit Cost Decline
- HDFC Bank (HDFCB IN) released its first results since its amalgamation. This can make comparatives difficult where historicals are not adjusted, except for some QoQ items.
- We use Dupont Analysis to better understand how the newly amalgamated bank looks now compared with the past, which generally shows a more profitable bank at the core.
- Credit costs, tax expenses are also positives, with the former improving 27bps YoY and the latter improving 23bps YoY. Investment income is a major positive driver in Sep 23 quarter.
Asirvad Micro Finance Limited Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- Asirvad Micro Finance Limited (1053198D IN) is looking to raise around US$183m in its upcoming India IPO. The deal will be run by JM Financial, Kotak, Nomura, SBI Caps.
- Asirvad Micro Finance Limited (Asirvad) is a non-banking finance company (NBFC), and a microfinance institution (MFI) offering small loans to low-income women in India.
- As per the CRISIL report, Asirvad was the largest MFI in India in terms of geographical coverage and third largest MFI in India in terms of AUM, in FY23.
Russell 2000 With Bullish Breadth Divergences; Buys in Insurance and Health Care Distributors
- Expectations since late-September remain unchanged; if $SPX is above 4165-4200/200-day MA, we’re bullish, as most signs point to this being a normal pullback within the ongoing bullish trend in SPX.
- As discussed last week (10/11/23), we have growing confidence that lows are likely in on the SPX, which made a low at 4216 (with 4200 hit exactly overnight 10/4/23).
- We also discussed Russell 2000 breadth bottoming last week, and this has continued with bullish breadth divergences on Russell 2000 % of stocks above their 50- and 200-day MAs
Morning Views Asia: China Vanke , NagaCorp Ltd, Road King Infrastructure
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.