Daily BriefsFinancials

Daily Brief Financials: PNB Housing Finance Ltd, QV Equities Ltd, Banco De Sabadell SA, China Vanke , Deutsche Beteiligungs AG and more

In today’s briefing:

  • PNB Housing: Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy
  • QV Equities (QVE AU): 28th June Shareholder Vote
  • BBVA Files Hostile Offer: Conditions, Defences and Probabilities
  • Morning Views Asia: China Vanke
  • Deutsche Beteiligungs – Successful exits assist H124 performance


PNB Housing: Block Deal Trade Special Situations and Tactical Trade Strategy

By Nimish Maheshwari

  • Impending block deals which generally create supply over-hang on the stock leads to a negative impact on the stock. 
  • These block deals generally include selling promoters and big funds at a price discount to its current market price. 
  • Historically, such events suggest once the block deal is done; stock reacts positively creating a Special Situation Opportunity

QV Equities (QVE AU): 28th June Shareholder Vote

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 12th March, Aussie-based investment plays QV Equities Ltd (QVE AU) and WAM Leaders Ltd (WLE AU)  entered into a Scheme
  • The current scrip terms are 0.739 new WAM shares per QVE share; OR A$0.989/share cash. Terms will be adjusted for updated pre-tax NTA/shares of both companies after the Scheme Meeting. 
  • The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting to be held on the 28th June. Expected implementation on the 15 July. The IE says fair & reasonable.

BBVA Files Hostile Offer: Conditions, Defences and Probabilities

By Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

  • On 24 May, Banco Bilbao Vizcaya Argentari (BBVA SM) submitted the authorisation request for its all-stock offer for Banco De Sabadell SA (SAB SM). Closing expected to take 6-8 months.
  • Gross spread (CSP 27 May) is 7.6%, which This translates in a 52% implied probability of deal success. The fixed income market appears to share this view.
  • Nevertheless, from a long-only perspective, the risk/reward of Sabadell is interesting. The deal values Sabadell’s shares at €2.07 each, an implied equity value of €11,187 million, for a 0.92 P/TBV.

Morning Views Asia: China Vanke

By Leonard Law, CFA

Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.


Deutsche Beteiligungs – Successful exits assist H124 performance

By Edison Investment Research

Deutsche Beteiligungs (DBAG) reported an NAV total return of 3% in H124 (to March 2024) following the first-time recognition of 2024 portfolio company budgets and 2024 consensus forecasts for peers in Q124. Its H124 return includes a net €19m negative effect from the incorporation of additional portfolio valuation factors. DBAG’s H124 performance was supported by the successful sale of in-tech at a healthy 3.2x multiple on invested capital (MOIC). DBAG also closed the initial investment in a 51% stake in ELF Capital. Its shares now trade at a c 22% discount to NAV.


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