In today’s briefing:
- HSCEI Index Rebalance: PICC P&C (2328 HK) Replaces Longfor (960 HK)
- [KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE US, BUY, TP US$25) TP Change]: C3Q24 Review: C4Q24 Rebound but What’s Next?
HSCEI Index Rebalance: PICC P&C (2328 HK) Replaces Longfor (960 HK)
- PICC Property & Casualty H (2328 HK) will replace Longfor Properties (960 HK) in the Hang Seng China Enterprises Index (HSCEI INDEX) at the close on 6 December.
- Estimated one-way turnover is 2.68% resulting in a round-trip trade of HK$2.84bn (US$365m). The final capping will use the close of trading on 3 December.
- There could be a move higher in PICC Property & Casualty over the next few days while any selling in Longfor Properties will be a covering opportunity for the shorts.
[KE Holdings Inc. (BEKE US, BUY, TP US$25) TP Change]: C3Q24 Review: C4Q24 Rebound but What’s Next?
- Beike (BEKE) reported C3Q24 revenue in-line with our estimate and consensus but non-GAAP operating profit 26%/25% below, mainly due to higher commission rebate and agent salaries;
- Strong rebound in home transaction volumes in October and November, led to our C4Q24 revenue 16% above consensus. But the rebound needs more stimulus to sustain;
- We maintain the stock as BUY and raise TP to US$25 to reflect the near term rebound and steady market share gains.