In today’s briefing:
- Nomura Real Estate To Buy Nomura RE Master Fund Units
- GQG Mulls Offer As Pacific Current Balks At Regal’s NBIO
- Morning Views Asia: Sands China, Sino-Ocean Service, SK Hynix, O-Net Technologies (Group)
- Mizuho – Tax Rate Normalization, Yield Curve Control Relief, Can Mean Profit Surge
- National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank – Far Stronger Credit Metrics, 31% Net Interest Income Growth
- Head Fakes in Euro and DXY
- Breaking Down Worldcoin’s Launch
Nomura Real Estate To Buy Nomura RE Master Fund Units
- Today, Nomura Real Estate Master Fund, (3462 JP) – the largest REIT in the ‘Diversified REIT’ JREIT space – announced sponsor Nomura Real Estate (3231 JP) would up its stake.
- They would lift their stake from 4.47% by 2.54% to 7.01%. There is a reason for this, just like there was last time with Japan Excellent (8987 JP).
- Understanding the reason is how you understand the trade to do.
GQG Mulls Offer As Pacific Current Balks At Regal’s NBIO
- Yesterday (26 July), asset manager Pacific Current (PAC AU) announced a cash/scrip NBIO from Regal Partners (RPL AU).
- Under Regal’s proposal, Pacific Current shareholders would receive an implied $10.77/share. Pacific Current considers the current share price doesn’t reflect the underlying value of its portfolio and business.
- Now GQG Partners (GQG AU) has announced it intends to submit its own NBIO. No price was mentioned.
Morning Views Asia: Sands China, Sino-Ocean Service, SK Hynix, O-Net Technologies (Group)
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.
Mizuho – Tax Rate Normalization, Yield Curve Control Relief, Can Mean Profit Surge
- Mizuho’s current tax expenses can see normalization that restores profitability by June quarter
- Yield curve control relief coming at a time of tax normalization, can be significant to profit
- Credit costs have moved higher, but the magnitude may wane, given NPL distribution
National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) Pre-IPO Tearsheet
- National Securities Depository Limited (NSDL) is looking to raise around US$400m in its India IPO.
- The deal will be run by ISec, Axis Capital, HSBC, IDBI, Motilal and SBI Caps.
- It IS the largest depository in India in terms of number of issuers, number of active instruments, market share in demat value of settlement volume and value of assets.
The Shanghai Commercial & Savings Bank – Far Stronger Credit Metrics, 31% Net Interest Income Growth
- Wildly improving credit metrics, with NPL coverage now at 1,144% in 1Q23
- Core net interest income is strong for past 3 quarters, now at +31% YoY
- Key line item deltas can continue, suggesting ROA to surpass 1.0% soon
Head Fakes in Euro and DXY
- It’s easy to identify breakouts because they are the most noticeable and generate a strong response.
- It is precisely what happened when DXY broke below 100.53.
- On the other hand, head fakes are often met with silence as hope for sustained trends persists.
Breaking Down Worldcoin’s Launch
- Worldcoin’s launch was one of the most unique and controversial in recent years.
- Much of the controversy stems from the understandable skittishness with Worldcoin’s goal (creating a global identity network) and sci-fi-like methods of achieving this goal (eye scans).
- This has been nicely summarized by the MIT Technology Review.