In today’s briefing:
- No Foreigner ID/Trade Report Obligation Starting Dec 14: Impact on Event Trading in Korea
- MUFG – What if No Yield Curve Control Relief?
- Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: Valuation Insights
- CTO Realty Growth: One Of The Few Investable REITs Out There
- Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Yuexiu Property
No Foreigner ID/Trade Report Obligation Starting Dec 14: Impact on Event Trading in Korea
- The abolition of the foreign investor registration system was approved in a Cabinet meeting. They will be promulgated on June 13th and implemented starting December 14th of this year.
- This change is not just about reducing administrative tasks, as it also eliminates the reporting obligations of foreign investors, thereby reducing their position exposure risk.
- This could improve event outcome and price prediction accuracy. Therefore, it is crucial to keep a close eye on event trading when this measure takes effect in December.
MUFG – What if No Yield Curve Control Relief?
- There may be no imminent yield curve control relief in Japan
- MUFG market capitalization is up 2-3x and at a near decade peak level
- Without YCC relief maybe the bank’s 60% rise in NPLs in the past 4 years is better noticed
Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: Valuation Insights
- Amman Mineral Internasional (1416286D IJ), an Indonesian copper-gold producer, has launched an IDX IPO to raise US$870 million. Bookbuilding runs from 31 May to 16 June.
- We previously discussed the IPO in Amman Mineral Internasional IPO: The Investment Case.
- In this note, we discuss valuation. Our analysis suggests that the IPO price range of IDR1,650-1,775 per share is attractive. We would participate in the IPO.
CTO Realty Growth: One Of The Few Investable REITs Out There
- CTO Realty Growth, Inc. possesses the necessary characteristics to outperform the market.
- Diminishing credit spreads and more predictable inflation could result in tailwinds for best-in-class cyclical REITs such as CTO.
- Real Estate Investment Trusts (“REITs”) situated in the United States have underperformed the S&P 500 (SP500) by approximately 10% during the past year, which should not be a surprise as factors such as rising credit spreads, an unstable interest rate environment, and softening consumer sentiment have all dented the hopes of many cyclical assets.
Morning Views Asia: Country Garden Holdings Co, Yuexiu Property
Lucror Analytics Morning Views comprise our fundamental credit analysis, opinions and trade recommendations on high yield issuers in the region, based on key company-specific developments in the past 24 hours. Our Morning Views include a section with a brief market commentary, key market indicators and a macroeconomic and corporate event calendar.
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