In today’s briefing:
- KRX Value-Up Special Rebalance in December: Playbook & Screening Rundown
- FOOTSIE UK December 2024 Forecasts: ALW and STJ for Top 100; MTRO and DEC for Next 250
- DigiCo REIT – The Positives – Hot Sector with Built in Growth
- Freshworks Inc.: An Integration & Growth of Acquired Assets & Other Major Drivers
- M&A Capital Partners (6080 JP): Coverage initiation, Full-year FY09/24 flash update
- Duke Capital (DUKE): Taking Duke Capital to the next level
- JDC Group – On track to reach high-end FY24 sales guidance
- Pjt Partners Inc. (PJT) – Monday, Aug 19, 2024
KRX Value-Up Special Rebalance in December: Playbook & Screening Rundown
- Since Sep 24, 32 companies made Value-Up disclosures. After filtering, 17 remain, but KRX will keep inclusions tight. They’ll likely use PBR and ROE rankings for final selection.
- We have 6 names—3 financials, 2 healthcare, 1 industrial. New Value-Up disclosures through Dec 6 could add more, but these 6 are the frontrunners for now.
- KRX is likely to announce results by Dec 10-11. Start eyeing entry points 10 days prior, and if price action heats up early, consider pulling the trigger sooner.
FOOTSIE UK December 2024 Forecasts: ALW and STJ for Top 100; MTRO and DEC for Next 250
- Alliance Witan (ALW LN) is the main candidate for addition in Top 100 (footsie 100) replacing Vistry Group (VTY LN) whose price recently plummeted more than 50%.
- St James’s Place (STJ LN) is the next candidate for addition in Top 100 replacing Frasers Group (FRAS LN) with both stocks being extremely close to the entry-exit rank.
- Metro Bank (MTRO LN) and Diversified Energy (DEC LN) are the top two addition candidates for Next 250 (footsie 250), replacing PZ Cussons (PZC LN) and Close Brothers (CBG LN).
DigiCo REIT – The Positives – Hot Sector with Built in Growth
- DigiCo REIT (DIGICO AU) aims to raise over US$1bn in its Australian IPO.
- DigiCo REIT (DREIT) aims to be a diversified owner, operator and developer of data centres, with a global portfolio and broad investment mandate across stabilised, value-add and development opportunities
- In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.
Freshworks Inc.: An Integration & Growth of Acquired Assets & Other Major Drivers
- Freshworks, a provider of cloud-based software solutions, reported its third-quarter 2024 earnings, showcasing strong financial performance and strategic advancements.
- The company exceeded its own forecasts for revenue growth and profitability, highlighted by a 22% increase in revenue year-over-year to $186.6 million.
- Freshworks also doubled its free cash flow from the previous year, reaching $40.1 million with a margin of 21%, demonstrating its operational efficiency and scalability.
M&A Capital Partners (6080 JP): Coverage initiation, Full-year FY09/24 flash update
- FY09/24 revenue was JPY19.2bn, a decline of 8.1% YoY, with operating profit at JPY6.4bn, down 14.4%.
- FY09/24 net income attributable to owners increased 5.6% YoY to JPY4.5bn, with a 104.4% achievement rate.
- The company targets 376 deals and 405 consultants by FY09/27, with a CAGR of 19.4% and 31.0%.
Duke Capital (DUKE): Taking Duke Capital to the next level
- In our April 2024 initiation, we highlighted that DUKE, by optimising the best of equity and debt, aimed to achieve equity-type returns with debt levels of risk.
- We highlighted four pillars of returns, namely: i) term credit; ii) participating preference shares, which support DUKE’s high, covered and growing dividend yield (2025E 10.0%, 2026E 10.7%, 2027E 11.4%); iii) early exit fees; and iv) equity stakes.
- Here, we update investors on how management will take DUKE to the next level, noting i) a £20.2m+ equity issue to fund short-term growth, and ii) the progress made towards a third-party capital model, negating the need for further raises.
JDC Group – On track to reach high-end FY24 sales guidance
After two quarters of >20% y-o-y revenue growth, JDC Group (JDC) has benefited from strong tailwinds in Q324 as well. Revenue growth of 36% in the quarter was partly driven by the acquisition of Top Ten, but mostly by strong Insurance, investment and banks activities. Q424 is also expected to be strong and JDC indicated that the high end of FY24 revenue guidance of €205–220m is well within reach. FY24 EBITDA guidance is in the range of €14.5–16.0m (FY23: €11.7m). After raising our estimates with the H124 results, we make no further changes. Our discounted cash flow provides a valuation of €34.0/share.
Pjt Partners Inc. (PJT) – Monday, Aug 19, 2024
- PTJ is benefiting from an exceptionally favorable operating environment that is unlikely to persist
- PJT’s partnership structure creates a significant tax drag on free cash flow making valuation more expensive than implied by the EBITDA multiple.
- Even so, shares trade at well above peer multiples despite lower than expected growth
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.