In today’s briefing:
- Guotai Junan (2611 HK) & Haitong (6837 HK) Merger Creates China’s Major Player
- K Bank IPO – The Biggest IPO in Korea in 2024
- Bajaj Housing Finance IPO- Forensic Analysis
- Hotel Property (HPI AU) Rejects Charter Hall’s A$3.65/Share Offer
- The Story Behind K-Bank Leaking Pricing Details Before the IPO Prospectus Dropped
- Global FX & Rates: US rates and FX market after a rollercoaster Friday
- Midea Real Estate (3990 HK): Now Trading Ex-In-Specie
- EQD | The NIFTY Potential Upside From Here
- Prasad Mahadik: Is Solana Going Modular?
- Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust – Lower rates should be beneficial for performance
Guotai Junan (2611 HK) & Haitong (6837 HK) Merger Creates China’s Major Player
- Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK) and Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK), two of China’s leading state-backed brokerages, intend to merger via a share swap, subject to regulatory approvals.
- Via a Merger by Absorption. GJS will issue new A and H shares to Haitong shareholders. The ratio hasn’t been firmed. Upon completion, the MergeCo creates China’s largest securities entity.
- A merger is welcome – possibly mandated – amid challenging capital markets and a tightening regulatory backdrop.
K Bank IPO – The Biggest IPO in Korea in 2024
- K Bank is the biggest IPO in Korea in 2024. The IPO price range is from 9,500 won to 12,000 won. It is offering 82 million shares in this IPO.
- According to the bankers’ valuation, the expected market cap of the company is from 4.0 trillion won to 5.0 trillion won.
- The IPO deal size is 779 billion (US$579 million) to 984 billion won (US$732 million).
Bajaj Housing Finance IPO- Forensic Analysis
- Bajaj Housing Finance (BHF IN) upcoming IPO is worth INR 65.6 bn, comprising of fresh issue worth INR 35.6 bn and offer for sale worth INR 30 bn.
- The company reports strong KPIs and has been better than peers in several aspects. AUM growth is strong and is driven by Developer Financing and Lease Rental Discounting.
- There are few important cautions regarding the NHB observations and assignments.
Hotel Property (HPI AU) Rejects Charter Hall’s A$3.65/Share Offer
- Pub play Hotel Property Investments (HPI AU) has announced – and summarily rejected – a A$3.65/share cash Offer from Charter Hall Retail Reit (CQR AU).
- Terms are a 14.8% premium to the undisturbed share price on March 28; following which a 14.8% “strategic interest” (@ A$3.35/share) was acquired by CQR and Charter Hall (CHC AU).
- The Offer is subject to a 50.1% acceptance hurdle. The Offer should be open for acceptances around the 23 September.
The Story Behind K-Bank Leaking Pricing Details Before the IPO Prospectus Dropped
- To justify a higher multiple, K-Bank is comparing itself to international internet banks, with KakaoBank as the only local peer. Differences in market conditions could complicate this comparison.
- This might explains why K-Bank is cautiously testing the market by announcing the rights issue first and delaying the prospectus, amid regulatory crackdowns on inflated IPOs.
- Controversy over high multiples from overseas peers and KakaoBank’s legal discount will be key in setting K-Bank’s IPO pricing.
Global FX & Rates: US rates and FX market after a rollercoaster Friday
- Markets experienced significant volatility in response to comments from New York Fed presidents and Governor Waller, resulting in pricing of around 30 basis points for the September meeting
- Labor market data suggests softening, with revisions showing a decline in private sector payroll growth, indicating a shift towards imminent Fed easing
- Opportunities in Treasuries lie in steepeners, with a focus on front end steepening and potential for further broadening of the steepening trend as the Fed moves towards easing.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.
Midea Real Estate (3990 HK): Now Trading Ex-In-Specie
- Back on the 23 June 2024, property developer Midea Real Estate Holding (3990 HK) announced the in-specie distribution of its core ops, either in unlisted scrip, or HK$5.90/share in cash.
- The in-specie involved distributing 97.8% of Midea’s assets (involved in property development and sales); accounting for 95% of revenue and ~91% of profit. All figures as at FY23.
- Midea went ex yesterday, closing down just HK$4.87/share. Midea, ex-in-specie, is currently trading at a trailing 0.6x P/B, and 2.3x PER. Pricing looks full.
EQD | The NIFTY Potential Upside From Here
- The NIFTY Index closed down last week, but if the rally restarts from here it would be good to analyse the pattern trend, to estimate how high it could go.
- The current WEEKLY pattern favors uptrend that last for 2 or 3 weeks up in a row, on average, and up to 5 consecutive weeks up in a row.
- Some additional reasoning is necessary to highlight the strongest resistance levels, we will do it in the insight.
Prasad Mahadik: Is Solana Going Modular?
- Austin from Solana tweeted about Solana’s new network extensions
- Kyle Samani discussed how Solana rollups will differ from Ethereum’s
- Prasad observed developments in Solana rollups, including SVM separation and new apps like Magic Block and Spicenet.
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.
Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust – Lower rates should be beneficial for performance
Martin Currie Global Portfolio Trust’s (MNP’s) performance was negatively affected in 2022 by the shift in interest rate expectations as US rates quickly moved up from 0.25% to 5.50%, in response to rising prices. Now, with inflation coming down, the consensus view is that US interest rates will soon be lowered, which should be beneficial for the valuation of long-duration growth stocks. Also, Zehrid Osmani, MNP’s manager since October 2018, has a proven track record of successful stock picking during periods when the stock market is driven by company fundamentals rather than when investor focus is on macroeconomic developments. Hence, Osmani has a high degree of confidence that there are better times ahead for MNP’s performance.