In today’s briefing:
- Weekly Deals Digest (05 May) – L’Occitane, C&F Logistics, KFC Japan, Austal, Hyundai Marine, ZEEKR
- (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: L’Occitane, KFC Holdings Japan, CSR, Azure Minerals, CIMC, Chilled & Frozen
- Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea
- S&P500 Index Rebalance: Bitcoin Miner Is a SPCY Add
- Adbri (ABC AU): 12th June Shareholder Vote
- Last Week in Event SPACE: Aussie Tax-Loss Selling, Austal, West Japan Railway, PICC/PICC P&C
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Weekly Deals Digest (05 May) – L’Occitane, C&F Logistics, KFC Japan, Austal, Hyundai Marine, ZEEKR
- A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
- ECM developments: HD Hyundai Marine Solution (443060 KS) and ZEEKR (ZK US) IPOs.
- Event-Driven developments: L’Occitane (973 HK), Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP), Kfc Holdings Japan (9873 JP), Mimasu Semiconductor Industry (8155 JP), Austal Ltd (ASB AU).
(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: L’Occitane, KFC Holdings Japan, CSR, Azure Minerals, CIMC, Chilled & Frozen
- Tally 47 – mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac – transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
- One new deals was discussed on Smartkarma this week: L’Occitane (973 HK)‘s VGO from major shareholder, Reinold Geiger. A deal for KFC Holdings Japan (9873 JP) is apparently imminent.
- Key updates took place on: CSR Ltd (CSR AU), Azure Minerals (AZS AU), CIMC Vehicle Group Co Ltd (1839 HK), and Chilled & Frozen Logistics Holdings (9099 JP).
Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/500 Jun 24: Final Expectations; US$3.4bn One-Way; New Trade Idea
- CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market cap and liquidity from the Shanghai and Shenzhen Exchanges. CSI 500 is the next 500.
- The reference period for the June 2024 review is now complete. There are some changes to the expected ADDs/DELs list since I published my last insight (link) ~3 weeks ago.
- In this insight, we take a look at our final expectations for index changes in June 2024.
S&P500 Index Rebalance: Bitcoin Miner Is a SPCY Add
- Following Exxon Mobil (XOM US)‘s acquisition of Pioneer Natural Resources (PXD), Vistra (VST US) will be added to the S&P 500 INDEX (SPX INDEX) at the close on 7 May.
- Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA US) is an add to the S&P SmallCap 600 Index and the stock could move higher till implementation.
- Marathon Digital Holdings (MARA US) stock has underperformed its close peers this year and the ratio of Marathon Digital Holdings stock price to Bitcoin (XBTUSD CURNCY) is near the lows.
Adbri (ABC AU): 12th June Shareholder Vote
- On the 27 Feb 2024, construction play Adbri (ABC AU) entered into a Scheme Implementation Deed with CRH (CRH US) and 42.7%-shareholder Raymond Barro (Chairman) at $5.20/share.
- Conditions include Adbri’s shareholder approval and FIRB signing off. Optically, it doesn’t appear to be a knockout price. However, Adbri’s share price has laboured since the onset of Covid.
- The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting to be held on the 12th June. Expected implementation on the 1 July. IE says fair & reasonable.
Last Week in Event SPACE: Aussie Tax-Loss Selling, Austal, West Japan Railway, PICC/PICC P&C
- Tax-Loss Selling‘s a subject of interest in Australia. Retail investors will take gains on stocks which run up in price, or get taken over, then look for losses to offset.
- Investors are caught out as the Aussie government “approves” Hanwha Ocean (042660 KS) buyng Austal Ltd (ASB AU). There is evidently a lot more going on in the background.
- West Japan Railway Co (9021 JP) announces a biggish buyback. One could buy dips, but one should probably not chase. For that, suggest this acts as a range trade.