In today’s briefing:
- The Bigly March 2024 “Wednesday-Friday Trade” (Surprising Flows)
- Giordano (709 HK): A Closer Look At The Shareholder Register Ahead Of The SGM
- IntelliCentrics (6819 HK): Delisting and Special Dividend
- Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Jun 24: Up to Five Changes Possible
- Noteworthy Price Movements Associated with 1Q Ex-Dates Trading Setups
- WT Micro GDR Early Look – Last Offering Had a Mixed Performance, This One Is Shaping up Better
- Coforge QIP Early Look – Shares Have Corrected Since the Announcement, Last Deal Did Well
The Bigly March 2024 “Wednesday-Friday Trade” (Surprising Flows)
- Every year it’s the same trade. This year it is Wednesday and Thursday. There are risks to the analysis – notably allocation.
- But there may be ¥1.0-1.2trln+ to buy on one day into the close later this month, then ad hoc buys of ¥630bn and index sells of ~¥600bn 2 days later.
- Over the past ten years, the two day return on the March trade is great. This year the Nikkei funding trade makes things more complicated.
Giordano (709 HK): A Closer Look At The Shareholder Register Ahead Of The SGM
- Last month, a Cheng family vehicle with 24.06% of Giordano (709 HK), requisitioned an SGM to remove CEO Peter Lau, and install Colin Currie as CEO, plus three other NEDs/INEDs.
- That SGM will be held on the 3rd April. The director resolutions – both the removal and appointments – are “ordinary”, requiring a simple majority vote.
- The outcome will likely pivot off how the shareholders under Halcyon Securities will vote. So I dug a little deeper as to who these shareholders are, with some surprising results.
IntelliCentrics (6819 HK): Delisting and Special Dividend
- On 9 February, IntelliCentrics Global Holding (6819 HK) announced the disposal of most of its assets to symplr software. On 19 March, the antitrust condition was satisfied.
- The consideration will be distributed to shareholders as a special dividend. The minimum and maximum special interim dividends are US$0.52 (HK$4.08) and US$0.55 (HK$4.30) per share.
- The key condition is EGM shareholder approval. Due to the irrevocables from key shareholders, the EGM vote should comfortably pass. This is a done deal.
Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Jun 24: Up to Five Changes Possible
- KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
- In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in June 2024.
- There could be up to five changes in the KOSPI 200 index during the June 2024 index rebal event.
Noteworthy Price Movements Associated with 1Q Ex-Dates Trading Setups
- Investors buying on February ex-dates, perhaps due to the Value-up factor, led to a successful strategy for local managers: buying before ex-date and selling at close, yielding positive results.
- On March 19th, Kia Corp (000270 KS) diverged from February’s pattern. Notably, FINANCIAL INVESTMENT sold heavily on Kia’s ex-date, a deviation from their quiet February activity.
- FINANCIAL INVESTMENT’s trend of liquidating positions held since last quarter, especially for dividends, gains momentum as March ends, possibly overshadowing February’s Value-up factor.
WT Micro GDR Early Look – Last Offering Had a Mixed Performance, This One Is Shaping up Better
- WT Microelectronics (3036 TT) is looking to raise up to US$444m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
- WT Microelectronics recently announced its board’s resolution to issue between 68-85m new shares in the form of GDRs, with the use of proceeds geared towards purchasing of raw materials overseas.
- Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a long drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.
Coforge QIP Early Look – Shares Have Corrected Since the Announcement, Last Deal Did Well
- Coforge (COFORGE IN) is looking to raise around US$386m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
- In an announcement released on Saturday, Coforge had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR32bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 9.1%.
- The deal would be a large one to digest at 14 days of three month ADV. That being said, the company’s last selldown did well.