Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Daily Brief Event-Driven: The Bigly March 2024 “Wednesday-Friday Trade” (Surprising Flows) and more

In today’s briefing:

  • The Bigly March 2024 “Wednesday-Friday Trade” (Surprising Flows)
  • Giordano (709 HK): A Closer Look At The Shareholder Register Ahead Of The SGM
  • IntelliCentrics (6819 HK): Delisting and Special Dividend
  • Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Jun 24: Up to Five Changes Possible
  • Noteworthy Price Movements Associated with 1Q Ex-Dates Trading Setups
  • WT Micro GDR Early Look – Last Offering Had a Mixed Performance, This One Is Shaping up Better
  • Coforge QIP Early Look – Shares Have Corrected Since the Announcement, Last Deal Did Well


The Bigly March 2024 “Wednesday-Friday Trade” (Surprising Flows)

By Travis Lundy

  • Every year it’s the same trade. This year it is Wednesday and Thursday. There are risks to the analysis – notably allocation.
  • But there may be ¥1.0-1.2trln+ to buy on one day into the close later this month, then ad hoc buys of ¥630bn and index sells of ~¥600bn  2 days later.
  • Over the past ten years, the two day return on the March trade is great. This year the Nikkei funding trade makes things more complicated. 

Giordano (709 HK): A Closer Look At The Shareholder Register Ahead Of The SGM

By David Blennerhassett

  • Last month, a Cheng family vehicle with 24.06% of Giordano (709 HK), requisitioned an SGM to remove CEO Peter Lau, and install Colin Currie as CEO, plus three other NEDs/INEDs.
  • That SGM will be held on the 3rd April. The director resolutions – both the removal and appointments – are “ordinary”, requiring a simple majority vote. 
  • The outcome will likely pivot off how the shareholders under Halcyon Securities will vote. So I dug a little deeper as to who these shareholders are, with some surprising results.  

IntelliCentrics (6819 HK): Delisting and Special Dividend

By Arun George

  • On 9 February, IntelliCentrics Global Holding (6819 HK) announced the disposal of most of its assets to symplr software. On 19 March, the antitrust condition was satisfied.
  • The consideration will be distributed to shareholders as a special dividend. The minimum and maximum special interim dividends are US$0.52 (HK$4.08) and US$0.55 (HK$4.30) per share.
  • The key condition is EGM shareholder approval. Due to the irrevocables from key shareholders, the EGM vote should comfortably pass. This is a done deal.

Quiddity Leaderboard KOSPI 200 Jun 24: Up to Five Changes Possible

By Travis Lundy

  • KOSPI 200 is a Korean blue-chip index that tracks the 200 largest and most-liquid names listed in the KOSPI section of the Korea Exchange (KRX).
  • In this insight, we take a look at the names leading the race to become ADDs and DELs during the upcoming semiannual review in June 2024.
  • There could be up to five changes in the KOSPI 200 index during the June 2024 index rebal event.

Noteworthy Price Movements Associated with 1Q Ex-Dates Trading Setups

By Sanghyun Park

  • Investors buying on February ex-dates, perhaps due to the Value-up factor, led to a successful strategy for local managers: buying before ex-date and selling at close, yielding positive results.
  • On March 19th, Kia Corp (000270 KS) diverged from February’s pattern. Notably, FINANCIAL INVESTMENT sold heavily on Kia’s ex-date, a deviation from their quiet February activity.
  • FINANCIAL INVESTMENT’s trend of liquidating positions held since last quarter, especially for dividends, gains momentum as March ends, possibly overshadowing February’s Value-up factor.

WT Micro GDR Early Look – Last Offering Had a Mixed Performance, This One Is Shaping up Better

By Clarence Chu

  • WT Microelectronics (3036 TT) is looking to raise up to US$444m in its upcoming global depository receipts (GDRs) offering.
  • WT Microelectronics recently announced its board’s resolution to issue between 68-85m new shares in the form of GDRs, with the use of proceeds geared towards purchasing of raw materials overseas.
  • Similar to previous GDR listings, the deal is a long drawn out process with the firm required to jump through a number of board/shareholder/regulatory approval loops.

Coforge QIP Early Look – Shares Have Corrected Since the Announcement, Last Deal Did Well

By Clarence Chu

  • Coforge (COFORGE IN) is looking to raise around US$386m in its upcoming qualified institutional placement (QIP).
  • In an announcement released on Saturday, Coforge had mentioned its board’s approval to raise up to INR32bn via a QIP. Since then, the shares have corrected 9.1%.
  • The deal would be a large one to digest at 14 days of three month ADV. That being said, the company’s last selldown did well.

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