Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation
  • JSR (4185) – Updated Information in SUNY Lawsuit, and Other Developments
  • Outsourcing (2427 JP): Keep Calm or Worry About the Earnings Delay?
  • Carlyle Group Selling More than 320 Billion Won Worth of KB Financial in a Block Deal Sale
  • Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal
  • S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell
  • Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index


Outsourcing (2427) – Earnings Delay Causes Consternation

By Travis Lundy

  • Originally, the MBO for Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) was expected to get launched end-January 2024. A late-ish filing with regard to the EU’s Foreign Subsidies Regulation regime prompted a delay.
  • Yesterday Outsourcing announced a delay its earnings release by 3 business days, the delay “procedures related to impairment losses are continuing.”
  • Outsourcing shares are down hard on this. -1.5% as I write. I examine.

JSR (4185) – Updated Information in SUNY Lawsuit, and Other Developments

By Travis Lundy

  • 12 days ago, JSR Corp (4185 JP) announced that former research collaboration partner Research Foundation of the State University of New York had sued in an intellectual property ownership dispute.
  • I wrote about it here to the extent I could. Since then, more information has become available, or available to me.  Some details on the case. Some on lawyers. 
  • Since then JSR has reported earnings with unchanged forecast, and major pure play comp Tokyo Ohka Kogyo (4186 JP) today reported earnings; the stock popped 10+% to an all-time high.

Outsourcing (2427 JP): Keep Calm or Worry About the Earnings Delay?

By Arun George

  • Outsourcing Inc (2427 JP) has delayed the announcement of its 4QFY2023 results from 14 to 19 February as the impairment loss accounting is yet to be completed. 
  • Outsourcing has a history of impairments, resulting in missed forecasts, which suggests a weak 4Q. The concern is that a weak 4Q could force Bain to trim its JPY1,755 offer. 
  • Persol Holdings (2181 JP) guidance cut today suggests a weak 4Q reflects near-term industry weakness rather than company-specific issues. The weak 4Q is a valuable cover to justify the less-than-stellar offer.

Carlyle Group Selling More than 320 Billion Won Worth of KB Financial in a Block Deal Sale

By Douglas Kim

  • After the market close on 14 February, KB Financial announced that The Carlyle Group is trying to sell a 1.2% stake in the company through a block deal sale. 
  • The expected block deal price range is 64,608 won to 65,954 won per share, representing a 2 to 4% discount to the closing price of 67,300 won on 14 February. 
  • We would pass on this block deal sale. Despite excellent gains so far YTD, there is looming risk of many investors that may bail out of KB Financial post ex-dividend.

Renesas (6723 JP) To Acquire Altium (ALU AU) In a A$9.1bn Deal

By Brian Freitas

  • Renesas Electronics (6723 JP) has entered a Scheme Implementation Agreement to acquire Altium Ltd (ALU AU) at A$68.5/share implying an equity value of A$9.1bn and an Enterprise Value of A$8.8bn.
  • The offer price is a 33.6% premium to the last close and a larger premium to VWAPs ranging from 30 days to 180 days.
  • There will be ad hoc inclusions to the S&P/ASX 100 Index and the S&P/ASX 200 (AS51 INDEX) on Altium Ltd (ALU AU)‘s last trading day (expected second half of 2024).

S&P/​​​​​​​​​ASX Index Rebalance Preview: Newmont Still Has Nearly A$1bn to Sell

By Brian Freitas

  • With two days left in the review period, there could be 28 adds/deletes across the S&P/ASX family of indices in March.
  • There is nearly A$1bn to sell in Newmont (NEM AU) due to the potential S&P/ASX 20 Index deletion and a large decrease in the number of shares held in Australia.
  • There could be 2-41 days of ADV to buy in the index inclusions while the impact on the deletions will range between 0.7-24 days of ADV.

Quiddity Leaderboard CSI 300/​​500 Jun 24: SHORT CSI 300 Direct DELs Vs the Index

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • CSI 300 represents the 300 largest stocks by market capitalization and liquidity from the entire universe of Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges. CSI 500 represents the next largest 500 names.
  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential ADDs/DELs for the CSI 300 and CSI 500 rebalance in June 2024.
  • I currently see 11 changes for the CSI 300 index and 50 changes for the CSI 500 index.

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