In today’s briefing:
- LG Corp Plans to Purchase 200 Billlion Won of LG Electronics and 300 Billion Won of LG Chem
- Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard
- Arvida (ARV NZ): 25th Sept Vote On Stonepeak’s Offer
- Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward
- CPMC Holdings (906 HK): The Battle Is Heating up as ORG Clears a Key Regulatory Hurdle
- Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat
- First Case of New Pre-Disclosure Rule: LG Corp Buys ₩300B LG Chem Shares
- Arvida Group (ARV NZ): Scheme Vote on 25 September
- Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion
- CPMC (906 HK): SAMR Green Lights ORG’s Offer
LG Corp Plans to Purchase 200 Billlion Won of LG Electronics and 300 Billion Won of LG Chem
- On 29 August, LG Corp announced that it plans to purchase about 200 billion won worth of LG Electronics and about 300 billion won worth of LG Chem.
- After these share purchases, LG Corp’s stake in LG Electronics will increase from 30.47% to 31.59%, and its stake in LG Chem will increase from 30.06% to 31.29%.
- LG Corp plans to purchases these shares starting 1 November 2024. The share purchases will be conducted in two stages and will be completed by 31 March 2025.
Notable Developments in the November Review of the Global Index Korea Standard
- Hyundai Rotem is right on the edge for Small Cap→Standard, so it is the only one having a real chance of being included in the November review.
- Doosan Robotics’ float rate will rise to 40% after issuing 20,219,376 new shares, making it a top candidate for inclusion among Outside IMI and comfortably surpassing the cutoff.
- With high trading volume volatility, it’s early to predict passive impact. Watch for momentum buildup like LS Electric and monitor the trading volume of Hyundai Rotem and Robotics closely.
Arvida (ARV NZ): 25th Sept Vote On Stonepeak’s Offer
- Back on the 22 July, Arvida (ARV NZ), a leading retirement living and aged care provider, announced a Scheme from Stonepeak at NZ$1.70/share, in cash, a 65% premium to undisturbed.
- The Scheme Booklet is now out, with a Scheme Meeting to be held on the 25th September. Expected implementation on the 13th November.
- The Scheme Consideration of NZ$1.70/share is within the Independent Adviser’s valuation range at NZ$1.63 to NZ$1.94/share. Arvida’s directors unanimously recommend shareholders to vote in favour of the Scheme.
Doosan Mergers: One Canceled, One Still Moving Forward
- Maekyung reported that Doosan Robotics and Bobcat will cancel their merger, but the merger between Robotics and Enerbility’s spun-off company will proceed.
- The merger’s risks have been overblown in Robotics’ stock, which might rebound. Bobcat’s stock outlook is uncertain, with fading merger hopes potentially hurting short-term sentiment.
- The Robotics-Enerbility merger might also be canceled under regulatory pressure, but this could hurt Enerbility’s stock due to debt concerns; forcing the merger may increase costs.
CPMC Holdings (906 HK): The Battle Is Heating up as ORG Clears a Key Regulatory Hurdle
- ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH) has received SAMR clearance, the key regulatory hurdle, for its HK$7.21 voluntary offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK).
- SAMR approval paves the way for the ORG precondition to be satisfied in September. Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer first close is on 3 September.
- Changping Industrial has little choice but to revise its terms. It has a short window to seize the initiative by bumping its offer before ORG’s competing and higher offer opens.
Doosan Group Cancels Plans to Merge Doosan Robotics and Doosan Bobcat
- On 29 August, the Doosan Group announced that it is cancelling the merger between Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) and Doosan Bobcat Inc (241560 KS).
- However, the plan to split Doosan Enerbility into a newco and then merge Doosan Bobcat with the newco will remain in place.
- Doosan Group is still trying to complete the first two portions of reorganization (Split of Doosan Enerbility and Merger Swap Between Doosan Enerbility and Doosan Robotics), resulting in continued uncertainty.
First Case of New Pre-Disclosure Rule: LG Corp Buys ₩300B LG Chem Shares
- LG Corp has announced it will buy ₩300B of LG Chem shares during trading hours, marking the first use of the new 30-day advance notice rule.
- LG Corp will buy LG Chem shares in two stages with 30-day advance notices. So, today’s announcement is a preliminary notice ahead of these 30-day advance notices.
- This transaction’s flow impact on LG Chem doesn’t seem substantial. But this first two-stage advance notice could provide key insights into price impact patterns.
Arvida Group (ARV NZ): Scheme Vote on 25 September
- The Arvida (ARV NZ) IE considers Stonepeak’s NZ$1.70 offer fair and reasonable as it is within the NZ$1.63 to A$1.94 valuation range.
- The transaction will require OIO approval, statutory supervisors’ consent and shareholder approval. The Metlifecare Ltd (MET NZ) precedent suggests that the OIO and statutory supervisor should be forthcoming.
- The offer is attractive and recent changes in substantial shareholders are benign. At the last close and for the 13 November payment, the gross/annualised spread was 3.0%/15.2%.
Quiddity Leaderboard BSE/SENSEX Dec 24: Zomato Needs F&O Membership to Avoid BSE 100 Deletion
- In this insight, we take a look at the Potential ADDs/DELs for the BSE SENSEX, 100, and 200 indices in the December 2024 index rebal event.
- We see four expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 100 and six expected ADDs/DELs for BSE 200.
- The BSE 100 handling rules for names without futures and options (F&O) sometimes punish companies that have enjoyed good share price rallies and Zomato could fall into such a trap.
CPMC (906 HK): SAMR Green Lights ORG’s Offer
- ORG Technology (002701 CH), via the Offeror Huarui Fengquan Development Limited, has announced SAMR has given its approval. ORG still requires MOFCOM, NDRC, and SAFE to sign off.
- Interestingly, SASAC/NCSSF-backed Champion Holdings, the competing/initial bidder for CPMC (906 HK), secured MOFCOM, NDRC, and SAFE before SAMR clearance. Champion’s regulatory pre-conditions took a little over seven months to secure.
- What now? SAMR is China’s primary antitrust regulator (overlapping with NDRC). So this is positive for ORG. However, I’d still stick to ORG’s pre-condition long stop in terms of timing.