In today’s briefing:
- Korea Zinc: Latest Stockholder Record for Proration Risk
- China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.13)-Genor to Acquire Edding, RemeGen’s Bleak Outlook, Zai Lab’s Trouble
- (Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Rio/Arcadium, Seven & I, Pacific Smiles, China TCM, Korea Zinc
- Last Week in Event SPACE: Guotai/Haitong, Shin Kong, China Conch Ventures, First Pac, Zhejiang E’way
- Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Biotech Dec 24: Two Changes Expected + Capping Flows
Korea Zinc: Latest Stockholder Record for Proration Risk
- If NPS and passive funds each tender half, it could hit 24%, pushing investors to consider both sides. The market’s eyeing a ratio of about MBK 3 to Choi 7.
- This tight vote could drag out the event longer than expected, and MBK might scoop up more shares if they miss their minimum target.
- MBK will likely go for open market buys against Korea Zinc’s buyback. Consider tendering to MBK Monday and spread trading futures, or push Korea Zinc to raise their buyback offer.
China Healthcare Weekly (Oct.13)-Genor to Acquire Edding, RemeGen’s Bleak Outlook, Zai Lab’s Trouble
- Leading Chinese biotech firms are among the few sub-sectors sustaining rapid growth. However, RemeGen stands as a negative example, with its business model and investment rationale proving flawed.
- “Increasing revenue without increasing profits” is actually a “denial” of a company’s business model. Even though the losses decreased in 24H1, this doesn’t change our negative expectations for Zai Lab.
- Genor Biopharma and Edding Group are merging through a reverse takeover, benefiting both companies by boosting Genor’s valuation and allowing Edding to achieve its goal of going public.
(Mostly) Asia-Pac M&A: Rio/Arcadium, Seven & I, Pacific Smiles, China TCM, Korea Zinc
- I tally 45 – mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac – transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
- Two new deals discussed this week: Rio Tinto (RIO AU)‘s tilt for Arcadium Lithium (LTM AU), and the Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities (H) (6837 HK) merger.
- Key updates took place on: Seven & I Holdings (3382 JP), Pacific Smiles (PSQ AU), China Traditional Chinese Medicine (570 HK) and Korea Zinc (010130 KS).
Last Week in Event SPACE: Guotai/Haitong, Shin Kong, China Conch Ventures, First Pac, Zhejiang E’way
- The Guotai Junan Securities (2611 HK)/Haitong Securities Co Ltd (H) (6837 HK) merger is a done deal. The key risk, as withTCM (570 HK)‘s Offer, is one of timing.
- IF you are an arbitrageur, Buy Shin Kong Financial Holding (2888 TT) vs A Basket of FHC Peers (not including Taishin).
- First Pacific Co (142 HK)‘s 46.2% share of Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)at delisting last year was worth ~US$1.25bn. It is now potentially worth ~US$3.21bn.
Quiddity Leaderboard Hang Seng Biotech Dec 24: Two Changes Expected + Capping Flows
- The HS HK-Listed Biotech Index (“Hang Seng Biotech Index”) represents the 50 largest biotech companies listed in Hong Kong (HKEX).
- In this insight, we take a look at the final rankings of potential ADDs/DELs and our capping flow expectations for the December 2024 index rebal event.
- We expect two changes for the HSHKBIO index in December 2024.