In today’s briefing:
- Korea – Positioning in Ecopro, Kumyang, JYP Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semi, Posco DX
- Japan – Increase in Shorts on Some Interesting Stocks
- Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) – JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI
- Weekly Deals Digest (06 Aug) – Toshiba, E-Guardian, ITOCHU, Allkem, Symbio, Pacific Current, MPI
- Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP): J-STAR’s JPY1,137 Tender Offer
- EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY LONG: Support Levels and Probability
Korea – Positioning in Ecopro, Kumyang, JYP Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semi, Posco DX
- Ecopro Co Ltd, Kum Yang, Jyp Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semiconductor and Posco DX have all rallied recently and could find their way into global passive portfolios.
- There could be liquidity events in some of the stocks as early as the end of the month and there is pre-positioning on a lot of the stocks.
- Retail investors have been big buyers in Ecopro Co and Kum Yang while foreign investors have been buyers in Jyp Entertainment, Hanwha Ocean, Hanmi Semiconductor and Posco DX.
Japan – Increase in Shorts on Some Interesting Stocks
- Nisshin Seifun Group, Oji Holdings, Nippon Shinyaku, CyberAgent Inc, NGK Insulators, Lixil Group and Sharp Corp have all underperformed the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) over the last 3-4 months.
- The underperformance could lead to adjustments in global passive portfolios and liquidity events on some of the stocks.
- Short interest has started to increase and there could be more pre-positioning yet to come over the next few weeks.
Merger Arb Mondays (07 Aug) – JSR, ITOCHU, Allkem, Origin, Symbio, Pacific Current, United Malt, MPI
- We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
- Highest spreads – 111 Inc (YI US), Chindata Group (CD US), Estia Health (EHE AU), Invocare Ltd (IVC AU), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Eoflow (294090 KS), JSR Corp (4185 JP).
- Lowest spreads – Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Penguin International (PBS SP), Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP), Oishi Group PCL (OISHI TB), Kenedix Retail REIT (3453 JP).
Weekly Deals Digest (06 Aug) – Toshiba, E-Guardian, ITOCHU, Allkem, Symbio, Pacific Current, MPI
- A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
- ECM developments – Rakuten Securities (RAKUSEC JP), EbixCash (EBIXC IN), Lalatech Holdings Co Ltd (LALA HK) and Lianlian DigiTech (2104619D CH) IPOs.
- Event-Driven developments – E Guardian Inc (6050 JP), Itochu Techno Solutions (4739 JP), Toshiba Corp (6502 JP), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM).
Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP): J-STAR’s JPY1,137 Tender Offer
- Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP)/YSK has recommended J-STAR’s tender offer of JPY1,137 per share, a 35.0% premium to the undisturbed price (4 August).
- The transaction is a two-step acquisition through a cash tender offer and subsequent squeeze-out. The lower limit of the tender offer is set at a 66.67% ownership ratio.
- YSK is cash rich, and the offer is below book value. The tender offer is a reasonable alternative in challenging trading conditions that have slashed operating margin targets.
EQD | Hang Seng Index (HSI) WEEKLY LONG: Support Levels and Probability
- The Hang Seng Index (HSI) closed down last week (CC=-1), briefly touching OVERSOLD territory, it may close higher this week.
- The HSI trend pattern currently identified with the Market Reversal Matrix (MRM) is quite bullish, on average.
- Support levels to go LONG are between 19367 (Q2/Median) and Q3 at 19021.