Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Daily Brief Event-Driven: JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules and more

In today’s briefing:

  • JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules, Affects IPOs More Than Market
  • Guzman Y Gomez IPO: Listing & Index Inclusion Timeline
  • Hyundai Motor’s Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event
  • Capitol Health (CAJ AU): All-Scrip Non-Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics
  • Another Major Win for Eoflow [U.S. Federal Appeals Court Issues a Decision]
  • Mizuho Cross-Shareholding – US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26
  • MMA Offshore (MRM AU): Cyan Lifts Offer


JPX Proposes BIG Changes To TOPIX Rules, Affects IPOs More Than Market

By Travis Lundy

  • In 2021 the JPX established new Listing Rules, and in April 2022 introduced new market segments (Prime/Standard/Growth) to much fanfare. Today, the TSE basically said those changes were meaningless.
  • Today, the TSE announced proposed new rules for TOPIX constituent selection. There is a 2-month consultation period, then rules come out end-Sep 2024. Expect few changes from the Proposal.
  • NextGen TOPIX will be created October 2026. 3-4 dozen ADDs, 500-600 DELETEs to create an index of 1,100-1,200 names. Some obvious large impacts 2+yrs from now, but this changes IPOs.

Guzman Y Gomez IPO: Listing & Index Inclusion Timeline

By Brian Freitas

  • Guzman Y Gomez (0817833D AU) has raised A$335.1m in a primary + secondary offering, valuing the company at A$2.23bn. The stock starts trading on the ASX Ltd (ASX AU) today.
  • Just over 54% of the shares are escrowed which means there is a lot of stock that will be available for sale on listing day.
  • Guzman Y Gomez (0817833D AU) could be added to the S&P/ASX 300 Index in September and there could be global index inclusions in November and December.

Hyundai Motor’s Special Shareholder Return Plan Likely Unveiled in August IR Event

By Sanghyun Park

  • Hyundai’s IR team appears to have communicated that a new shareholder return policy would be unveiled at the rescheduled CEO Investor Day in August.
  • Hyundai aims to boost shareholder returns above 30% by canceling ₩800B to ₩1T in shares annually. The new dividend strategy won’t debut in August; last year’s three-year plan stands.
  • Equal cancellation ratios apply to common and three types of preferred shares. August’s timing, with ISA tax reforms potentially favoring preferred shares, may enhance prefs’ price impact relative to ords.

Capitol Health (CAJ AU): All-Scrip Non-Binding Merger with Integral Diagnostics

By Arun George

  • On 17 June, Capitol Health (CAJ AU) disclosed a non-binding merger proposal from Integral Diagnostics (IDX AU) at 0.12849 Integral shares per Capitol share.
  • Integral has been granted a four-week exclusivity period that ends on 15 July. The transaction will require approval from the ACCC and Capitol shareholders. 
  • The offer is attractive compared to historical exchange ratios, trading ranges and peer multiples. At the last close, the gross spread was 11.7%.  

Another Major Win for Eoflow [U.S. Federal Appeals Court Issues a Decision]

By Douglas Kim

  • On 19 June, Eoflow announced that the U.S. Federal Appeals Court issued a decision to overturn the provisional injunction.
  • In other words, the U.S. federal court ordered the first trial’s preliminary injunction banning overseas sales of Eoflow to be overturned. 
  • A jury trial is set at end of November 2024. Depending on the ruling, either side may appeal and a second trial may follow or there may be a settlement.

Mizuho Cross-Shareholding – US$11bn of Cross-Shareholding, with at Least US$2bn to Sell over FY24-26

By Sumeet Singh

  • Following up on our earlier cross-shareholding notes, in this note we look at Mizuho Financial Group (8411 JP)‘s cross-shareholding.
  • Mizuho had a stake over US$100m in at least 34 listed Japanese stocks, amounting to a total of around US$7bn.
  • In this note, we take a look at its stakes in various companies to see which ones could possibly be candidates for further selldowns.

MMA Offshore (MRM AU): Cyan Lifts Offer

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on 25 March, marine and subsea services provider MMA Offshore (MRM AU) entered into a Scheme with Singapore’s Cyan Renewables, a wholly-owned vehicle of Seraya Partners.
  • The A$2.60/share Offer in cash, a 11% premium to last close, was within the IE’s fair value range of A$2.03 to A$2.83. However, shares have consistently traded through terms.
  • Cyna has now bumped the Offer to A$2.70/share – best & final. Thorney (7.95% of shares out) is supportive. The Scheme Meeting will still be held on the 1 July.

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