In today’s briefing:
- Jio Financial (JIOFIN IN): Upcoming Passive Selling & Timing
- STAR50 Index Rebalance: Two Changes; Pre-Positioning Appears Light
- Merger Arb Mondays (28 Aug) – Eoflow, UMW, Boustead, Costa, Estia, Pacific Current, Golden Eagle
- EQD | KOSPI 200 Index’s Decisive Week: New WEEKLY LONG Supports
Jio Financial (JIOFIN IN): Upcoming Passive Selling & Timing
- Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) started trading on 21 August following its demerger from Reliance Industries (RIL IN). The stock was locked limit down on its first four trading days.
- Passive NIFTY Index (NIFTY INDEX) and S&P BSE SENSEX Index (SENSEX INDEX) trackers hold Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) stock and will need to sell over the next few days.
- We estimate passive trackers will need to sell around 188m shares (US$487m) of Jio Financial Services (JIOFIN IN) next week and the stock could head lower in the short term.
STAR50 Index Rebalance: Two Changes; Pre-Positioning Appears Light
- As expected, the index committee has used a 6-month minimum listing history and that results in two changes to the SSE STAR50 (STAR50 INDEX) in September.
- Piotech (688072 CH) and Hwatsing Technology (688120 CH) will replace Suzhou Nanomicro Technology (688690 CH) and Zhuhai CosMX Battery (688772 CH) in the index.
- One-Way turnover is estimated at 2.83% and will result in a one-way trade of CNY 3,562m. There does not appear to be a lot of pre-positioning on the stocks.
Merger Arb Mondays (28 Aug) – Eoflow, UMW, Boustead, Costa, Estia, Pacific Current, Golden Eagle
- We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
- Highest spreads – 111 Inc (YI US), Costa Group Holdings (CGC AU), Eoflow (294090 KS), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), Mason Group Holdings (273 HK), JSR.
- Lowest spreads – Healius (HLS AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Celltrion Healthcare (091990 KS), T&K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Yaizu Suisankagaku Industry (2812 JP), Sanei Architecture Planning (3228 JP).
EQD | KOSPI 200 Index’s Decisive Week: New WEEKLY LONG Supports
- The KOSPI 200 INDEX has reached a tipping point: the previous Bull run trend is cracking, there is a high chance the index will drop.
- The current MRM WEEKLY pattern is bearish: if the index falls for more than 1 week it may tailspin into a 4-6 weeks correction in September.
- Cover your LONG holdings, support can be found at 325 (Q2), 315 (Q3) and 297 (Inner Fence).