In today’s briefing:
- JAPAN ACTIVISM: Silchester and Bank of Kyoto (8369) Redux
- Weekly Deals Digest (30 Apr) – AAG, HKBN, Blackmores, Lian Beng, Horizon Construction, Mankind
- Merger Arb Mondays (01 May) – HKBN, AAG Energy, United Malt, Blackmores, Origin, Metro Pacific
- Deutsche Bank/Numis Corporation: Acquiring Deal Flow
JAPAN ACTIVISM: Silchester and Bank of Kyoto (8369) Redux
- Last year, Silchester International Investors wrote a series of letters to Bank of Kyoto management and then asked to put items on the AGM agenda. It lost.
- A Bloomberg article last week suggests Silchester will ask for a ¥62 special div and a ¥5bn buyback this year. The Silchester letter is “due” by 30 April.
- The Bank has already delivered most of the ask this year (¥3bn in upped div, and ¥5bn in buybacks). Silchester will lose. Expect no Conversion on the Road to Kasumigaseki.
Weekly Deals Digest (30 Apr) – AAG, HKBN, Blackmores, Lian Beng, Horizon Construction, Mankind
- A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
- ECM developments – Yuexiu Property (123 HK) rights issue and ADICON Holdings Limited (ADI HK), Horizon Construction Development (1887128D HK), Mankind Pharma (6596876Z IN) IPOs.
- Event-Driven developments – Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM), Lian Beng.
Merger Arb Mondays (01 May) – HKBN, AAG Energy, United Malt, Blackmores, Origin, Metro Pacific
- We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
- Highest spreads – 111 Inc (YI US), Estia Health (EHE AU), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Aag Energy Holdings (2686 HK), HKBN Ltd (1310 HK), Origin Energy (ORG AU).
- Lowest spreads – Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU), Pushpay Holdings (PPH NZ), Blackmores Ltd (BKL AU).
Deutsche Bank/Numis Corporation: Acquiring Deal Flow
- In a back to the 90’s, Deustche seeks to acquire UK corporate stockbroker Numis for a 350p/share package (72% premium, 2.1x P/BVPS, 15.5x on a smoothed-out P/E) via scheme of arrangement.
- The deal should bring deal flow to Deutsche Bank’s UK business. Mifid II may spark more consolidation across UK brokers. Readacross: Peel Hunt Ltd/Guernsey (PEEL LN) could become a target.
- Irrevocables are 27.2%. There’s no arguing with the premium and the deal should close. Spread is 2.63%/c. 4.93% (gross/annualised, assuming for simplicity all payments at settlement, around 15 November). Long.
💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma
Sign Up for Free
The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network
- ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
- ✓ Personalised Alerts
- ✓ Custom Watchlists
- ✓ Company Data and News
- ✓ Events & Webinars
