Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Daily Brief Event-Driven: Hongkong Land: Exchange Square Sale Would Be BIG News. (If True) and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Hongkong Land: Exchange Square Sale Would Be BIG News. (If True)
  • StubWorld: Japex/Inpex, Amorepacific, Wynn, Shimao, Takara, Silicon Integrated/United Micro
  • Two Noteworthy Issues in Korea’s SSF/SSO Selection in September Round
  • Metro Pacific Investments (MPI PM): Risk/Reward as Uncertainty Hangs on the Delisting Threshold
  • Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Potential Surprises and Final Thoughts
  • Beenos: Ramps Up Buybacks


Hongkong Land: Exchange Square Sale Would Be BIG News. (If True)

By David Blennerhassett

  • According to Sing Tao, two PRC firms and a mainland bank have formed a consortium to acquire Hongkong Land (HKL SP)‘s 33-storey Three Exchange Square.
  • This “news” is straight out of left field. For its part, HKL said the market rumour is pure speculation.
  • HKL’s P/B of 0.24x is closing in on its all-time low of 0.21x during the depths of Covid. 

StubWorld: Japex/Inpex, Amorepacific, Wynn, Shimao, Takara, Silicon Integrated/United Micro

By David Blennerhassett

  • For a change of pace, this insight briefly canvasses a clutch of Holdco’s trading at extreme levels. 
  • Preceding the chart-heavy insight are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Two Noteworthy Issues in Korea’s SSF/SSO Selection in September Round

By Sanghyun Park

  • Recent information leaked through local media reveals that KRX has ultimately opted not to list Ecopro Co’s SSF in the upcoming September round.
  • Given the unusually high trading volume of at-the-money (ATM) options in the local SSO market, the market’s interest in covered calls for dividend-yielding stocks can be substantial.
  • So, we should pay attention to stocks whose SSO is already listed or will be newly listed in September among those that have shifted their ex-dividend dates to post-dividend confirmation.

Metro Pacific Investments (MPI PM): Risk/Reward as Uncertainty Hangs on the Delisting Threshold

By Arun George

  • Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)‘s voluntary delisting tender offer from a consortium at PHP5.20 (net price of PHP5.1677 per share) will run from 9 August to 7 September.
  • The delisting proposal was approved on 8 August. Excluding the consortium’s votes, only 37.4% of minorities (representing 13.73% of outstanding shares) voted YES for the delisting proposal.
  • A key risk is satisfying the 95% delisting threshold, which would require a minorities acceptance rate of 86.4%. The risk/reward is unattractive at the current spread of 4.4% (net 3.8%). 

Quiddity Leaderboard ASX Sep 23: Potential Surprises and Final Thoughts

By Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

  • In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for ASX 300, 200, 100, 50, and 20 in the September 2023 Rebalance.
  • I expect one change for ASX 100 and 3 ADDs and 4 DELs for ASX 200. There could be 11 ADDs and 9 DELs for ASX 300.
  • ASX 300 member Leo Lithium (LLL AU) is currently suspended from trading and that could have interesting implications for the stock’s ASX 300 membership.

Beenos: Ramps Up Buybacks

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • Beenos revealed a ¥300m buyback plan in 2QFY23 and recently declared a ¥500m buyback in 3QFY23. This incremental buybacks is likely to continue due to disposal of incubator investments.
  • The cash balance of 34% of total assets and over 49% of market cap, supports the ongoing buyback trend even if incubator divestments take longer than expected.
  • Hence, we expect Beenos Inc (3328 JP)’s Holdco discount to move closer to the 20% mark, potentially resulting in a 75% upside in the short term.

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