Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Daily Brief Event-Driven: HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion and more

In today’s briefing:

  • HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion
  • The Backdrop Behind Today’s Pivot in Samsung’s Playbook
  • Fengxiang (9977 HK): Privatisation by PAG?
  • Canvest (1381 HK): Precondition Satisfied
  • A Potential Family Feud At Dongjin Semichem Post Death of Founder Lee?
  • DN Solutions IPO: Index Inclusion Timing Depends on Lock-Up Expiry Schedule
  • StubWorld: Matheson Looks Stretched


HKBN (1310 HK): Another Sing Tao Article as Speculation Swirls on MBK’s Loan Notes Conversion

By Arun George

  • A new Sing Tao Daily article on HKBN Ltd (1310 HK) claims that China Mobile (941 HK)’s offer is a stalemate, and a potential I Squared offer faces regulatory challenges. 
  • The article is being unduly alarmist. The concerns raised on the China Mobile offer remain premature, and there remains a medium-to-high probability of a competing offer from I Squared. 
  • Last Friday, MBK converted its vendor loan notes (VLN) into shares, which could signal that an I Squared competing offer is imminent. 

The Backdrop Behind Today’s Pivot in Samsung’s Playbook

By Sanghyun Park

  • Jay Lee flipping the switch signals Samsung’s pivot—no more playing defense, no more legal jitters. Market’s reading this as full send on the next phase.
  • Near-Term, Samsung’s pushing hard—NVIDIA’s HBM qual tests are in focus. With NVIDIA’s event this week, traders are watching for bullish signals after earlier cautious moves.
  • The real juice? Samsung might drop a bold value-up play and a no-nonsense shareholder message. The prime launchpad: AGM day, this Wednesday, 19th, 9 AM.

Fengxiang (9977 HK): Privatisation by PAG?

By Arun George

  • Shandong Fengxiang (9977 HK) entered a trading halt “pending the release of an announcement pursuant to the Code on Takeovers and Mergers.” PAG, the controlling shareholder, likely aims to privatise Fengxiang. 
  • The offer will likely be structured as a privatisation by merger by absorption requiring approval by at least 75% of independent H Shareholders (<10% of all independent H Shareholders rejection). 
  • The presence of several substantial shareholders necessitates a reasonable offer. An offer of HK$1.80-2.00 (a 21%—33% premium to the last close) could win over these shareholders’ backing.

Canvest (1381 HK): Precondition Satisfied

By Arun George

  • Grandblue Environment Co A (600323 CH) has satisfied the precondition related to its privatisation offer for Canvest Environmental Protection Group (1381 HK)
  • The offer remains attractive despite the re-rating of peers since announcing the deal. The vote risk is low as the two shareholders holding blocking stakes will be supportive. 
  • This is a done deal. At the last close, the gross/annualised spread for a mid-June payment is 3.8%/13.0%. 

A Potential Family Feud At Dongjin Semichem Post Death of Founder Lee?

By Douglas Kim

  • After the death of Dongjin Semichem’s founder Lee on 25 February, the company has yet to reveal the details of the succession plan.
  • There is a potential for a family feud between the two sons of founder Lee if indeed there was no will directing the late chairman Lee’s ownership of Dongjin Holdings.
  • A potential family feud for the control of Dongjin Semichem could lead to a grab for shares by both the family members as well as the general investors.

DN Solutions IPO: Index Inclusion Timing Depends on Lock-Up Expiry Schedule

By Brian Freitas

  • DN Solutions (298440 KS) is looking to raise up to KRW 1,573bn (US$1.08bn), valuing the company at KRW 5.66 trillion (US$3.9bn) at the top end of the IPO price range.
  • The highest probability of DN Solutions being added to the KOSPI200 Index is at the June 2026 rebalance. The stock needs to move 60% higher to be added in December 2025.
  • Inclusion in global indices could commence in August/November and will depend on institutional investor lock-up schedules. Flows are small unless the stock moves higher and is included in bigger indices.

StubWorld: Matheson Looks Stretched

By David Blennerhassett

  • Jardine Matheson Holdings (JM SP) posted a 11% drop in FY24 underlying profit; but has promptly gained 9% since.
  • Preceding my comments on Matheson are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

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