In today’s briefing:
- FTSE TWSE Dividend+ Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Good Start, Some Surprises, More to Come!
- Singapore Medical’s VGO: Revised Offer of S$0.40 Is Good to Go
- KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Excess Volumes & Pre-Positioning
- Sweden’s EQT Partners to Invest Big in SK Shieldus: Impact on SK Square
FTSE TWSE Dividend+ Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: Good Start, Some Surprises, More to Come!
- In October 2022, FTSE Russell confirmed that the number of constituents in the FTSE TWSE Taiwan Dividend+ Index will be increased from 30 to 50 during the December 2022 Rebalance.
- The estimated one-way flow was ~US$2bn and I discussed my flow expectations for this event in FTSE TWSE Dividend+ Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: New Methodology! Massive Flow Implications!
- With less than three weeks remaining to the base date, below is an updated look at my latest flow expectations for this event.
Singapore Medical’s VGO: Revised Offer of S$0.40 Is Good to Go
- Singapore Medical (SMG SP)‘s voluntary conditional offer from management (chairman, CEO, exec director) has been increased from S$0.37 to S$0.40 per share (share option unchanged).
- The revised offer is final unless there is a competitive situation. The offeror came to the realisation that a bump was required to meet the 90% minimum acceptance condition.
- Acceptances stand at 77.42% of outstanding shares. The revised offer is now reasonable and should be sufficient to nudge holdouts to accept. At last close, the gross spread is 5.3%.
KOSPI200 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Changes, Excess Volumes & Pre-Positioning
- With the review period complete, we see 1 high probability change and 1 lower probability change for the Korea Stock Exchange Kospi 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX) in December.
- We estimate passive trackers will need to trade over 10 days of ADV on the high probability names. There are indications that there are pre-positions built on the stocks.
- With short-sell eligibility flipping post implementation of the changes, a lot of pre-positions will be unwound prior to implementation and there will be trading opportunities on the reverse side.
Sweden’s EQT Partners to Invest Big in SK Shieldus: Impact on SK Square
- On 2 November, it was reported that Sweden’s EQT Partners is to acquire a 36.87% stake in SK Shieldus.
- EQT Partners is expected to invest more than 2 trillion won in SK Shieldus which is expected to be valued at about 4.5 trillion won to 5.2 trillion won.
- Our base case valuation of SK Square is NAV per share of 59,272, which is 59% higher than current price.
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