In today’s briefing:
- Allkem/Livent Merger: 19th December Shareholder Vote
- Shidax (4837) – Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low
- Olympus (7733) – OP Hit but Additional Buyback; Positive Dynamics but Flow Risks Persist
- EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Santa Rally?
Allkem/Livent Merger: 19th December Shareholder Vote
- On the 10th May, Aussie lithium miner Allkem Ltd (AKE AU) inked a $US10bn+ “merger of equals” with Livent (LTHM US), ostensibly forming the world’s fifth largest lithium producer.
- Allkem’s Scheme Meeting is the 19 December, with implementation expected on the 4 January. The IE is supportive and Allkem’s board unanimously recommends the transaction.
- This looks done. Buy Livent. And get borrow on Livent to be able to short it into the inclusion or in the days following.
Shidax (4837) – Nikkei Scoops MBO (Anncmt Post-Close), Family Wants to Buy at ¥800 Which Is Too Low
- 13mos ago I wrote about Shidax Corp (4837 JP) which an interesting restructuring past and a refreshing governance outlook going forward in Shidax Outlook May Change – Better Governance Matters.
- The stock was up 25% in that period to yesterday. Today, a Nikkei article mid-day suggests the Shida family will launch an MBO. Stock popped. Earnings out after the close.
- The article suggests a take-private MBO with Oisix ra daichi (3182 JP) again supporting the deal. 30 minutes ago Shidax responded saying an offer was put forth at ¥800/share.
Olympus (7733) – OP Hit but Additional Buyback; Positive Dynamics but Flow Risks Persist
- Yesterday, Olympus Corp (7733 JP) announced Q2 earnings which were trifle light, and announced a sharp downward revision to full-year OP despite higher revs on weaker yen.
- OP takes a hit because of expenses related to the shutdown of Veran Medical device sales (announced 6 Sep, “causing” a 2.4% share price fall the next day).
- They also announced an ¥80bn buyback. That should be worth 3.0-3.5% of shares out, but overhang exists. The label is the label. The details are inside. They matter.
EQD | Volatility Update: Weekly Review of Vol Changes and Best Trades- Santa Rally?
- Weekly summary of vol changes and moves across Global Markets
- Analysing ATM volatility and skew changes over the last 5 days
- We suggest a few trades to take advantage of the implied vol surfaces