Daily BriefsEvent-Driven

Daily Brief Event-Driven: 51job’s Egregious Offer: Dissentient Shareholders Commence Court Proceedings and more

In today’s briefing:

  • 51job’s Egregious Offer: Dissentient Shareholders Commence Court Proceedings
  • Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK): Offer Now Unconditional
  • DTAC/True Merger: Shares Decline on Noise About NBTC Subcommittees Voting Decision
  • Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)
  • Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)
  • Banorte – Shareholders Would Be Better off Without Banamex

51job’s Egregious Offer: Dissentient Shareholders Commence Court Proceedings

By David Blennerhassett

  • Back on 1 March, 51 Job Inc Adr (JOBS US) entered into a revised merger agreement at US$61.00/share, down 22.8% from the initial terms.
  • This merger was approved at an EGM on the 27 April and became effective on the 6 May.
  • Court proceedings have commenced for dissenters, accounting for a staggering 30.9% of shares out. It’s not just “fair value” under the microscope; but the legality of the downward revision.

Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK): Offer Now Unconditional

By David Blennerhassett

  • On the 25 April, PRC dairy farmer Lanzhou Zhuangyuan Pasture (1533 HK) announced a Conditional Cash Offer for all its H-shares at $10.89/share. 
  • This two-step voluntary cash offer incorporated a Scheme-like vote and a 90% tendering condition. 
  • Shareholders voted for the transaction on the 29 June. The tendering condition has now been satisfied. The last day of trading is on the 1 August.  

DTAC/True Merger: Shares Decline on Noise About NBTC Subcommittees Voting Decision

By Arun George

  • Total Access Communication (DTAC TB) and True Corp Pcl (TRUE TB) shares declined as reports suggest that NBTC’s subcommittees voted 3:1 AGAINST the merger. True said the reports are false.
  • An earlier press conference by CP Group and Telenor ASA (TEL NO) reiterated that the NBTC could only prescribe remedial measures. A court ruling on 16 June supports this view.
  • NBTC will allegedly review the subcommittees’ findings on 26-27 July. We think this development results in the NBTC prescribing harsher remedial conditions to the merger rather than blocking it. 

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)

By David Blennerhassett


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Southbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)

By David Blennerhassett


Banorte – Shareholders Would Be Better off Without Banamex

By Victor Galliano

  • We continue to believe that Banorte is one of the main potential acquirers of Banamex; CitiBanamex’s opex and credit quality metrics worsened to May, making the acquisition more challenging
  • Banorte’s 2Q22 results include a reduced core capital ratio post dividend payments which, in the event of a Banamex acquisition, increases the risk of an approximately USD1bn capital raise
  • Furthermore, AMLO’s latest pronouncements on the Banamex sale – which include that there should be no mass lay-offs – threaten to limit the acquiring bank’s scope to extract merger synergies 

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