Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: ZTO Express Q3: Margins Plunge Vs Q2 | Abandons Pursuit of Share Gains | Is There a New Strategy? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • ZTO Express Q3: Margins Plunge Vs Q2 | Abandons Pursuit of Share Gains | Is There a New Strategy?
  • OpenAI Boardroom Battle: Safety First
  • Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Many Bright Spots in 1HFY24 Result
  • Keepers Holdings Concall Highlights: Soft Q3 2023, Build Up to Seasonally High Q4


ZTO Express Q3: Margins Plunge Vs Q2 | Abandons Pursuit of Share Gains | Is There a New Strategy?

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Non-Core items boosted Q3 earnings, but core margins plunged vs Q2
  • In a surprise move, ZTO has abandoned its aggressive pursuit of share
  • Medium term growth is likely to slow, and pressure on margins remains

OpenAI Boardroom Battle: Safety First

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • OpenAI was founded in 2015 by investors, including Elon Musk, Reid Hoffman, Peter Thiel, AWS, and YC Research.
  • The goal was to pursue Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) safely for the benefit of humanity.
  • There was an initial pledge of $1 billion, but the money that came in was $100 million from Elon Musk and $30 million from Open Philanthropy.

Sa Sa Intl (178 HK): Many Bright Spots in 1HFY24 Result

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • Besides turnaround in the bottom line, Sa Sa International (178 HK) achieved good store efficiency improvement and enviable cost control. It will enjoy further operating leverage.
  • The 5.3pp sequential increase in sales contribution from tourists highlights its position to benefit from revival of tourist arrivals. Three to-be-opened stores will boost sales momentum. 
  • Initial sales figures for 3QFY24 point to 27% overall sales growth, which is encouraging. Sa Sa stays in a very solid financial position with HK$196m of net cash.

Keepers Holdings Concall Highlights: Soft Q3 2023, Build Up to Seasonally High Q4

By Sameer Taneja

  • The Keepers Holdings (KEEPR PM) reported a soft Q3 2023 with revenue up 6.7% YoY and profits 4.5% YoY (ex-one offs of 38 mn pesos profits up 11% YoY). 
  • The company guided a good build-up into Q4 2023 as the festive season showed signs of a good pick-up. 
  • Trading at 8.2x/7x FY23e/24e with a 5.4%/6.3% dividend yield, we like the name, although there are a few short-term risks on working capital that the company needs to address.

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