Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China’s Auto Aftersales Service Market and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China’s Auto Aftersales Service Market
  • China Banks; Challenged on Credit Quality Trends, with Selective Opportunities to Be Found
  • Palo Alto Networks’ Bold Shift: Can AI-Driven Security Keep Up with Cyber Threats?
  • Insulet Corporation: Will The Enhanced Focus on MDI Market Segments Pay Off? – Major Drivers
  • GameStop’s Bumpy Road to Recovery: Is The Meme Stock Worth The Risk?
  • European Airlines – Fare Data Suggests Risk to EasyJet/Wizz Peak Summer but Winter More Encouraging
  • Ambarella’s AI Surge: Can IoT and Automotive Growth Drive Future Success?
  • Teradyne Inc.: Expansion into High-Payload Robotics and Channel Growth Is A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers
  • The Descartes Systems Group: Advantage Through Strategic Acquisitions – Focus on BoxTop Technologies! – Major Drivers
  • Toll Brothers: Expanding Geographic Footprint & Emphasis on Spec Homes Driving Growth! – Major Drivers


Tuhu Car (9690 HK | BUY | TP:HKD24): Poised to Capture China’s Auto Aftersales Service Market

By Mohshin Aziz

  • Tuhu Car (9690 HK) is poised to capture the lion share of China’s automotive aftersales service industry that is forecasted to grow at 7.3% CAGR from 2023:30. 
  • Tuhu is on an inflection of high earnings growth (+30% CAGR) as it has reached scalability, cost efficiency, and its younger shops are maturing profitably.    
  • Our fair value of HKD24 implies 25x FY25 PE – average for US peers. A bargain with 3-year CAGR of 30%, net cash, and churns high free cash flow.

China Banks; Challenged on Credit Quality Trends, with Selective Opportunities to Be Found

By Victor Galliano

  • In this China banks screen, we focus on the credit quality headwinds going forward and which are the better positioned banks to confront the challenge
  • China bank shares’ PBV ratios have eroded over time, due to low growth and credit quality concerns; yet through our analysis of these bank, we see selective contrarian positive opportunities
  • CCB is a core GEM bank buy for its deeply discounted valuations and strong balance sheet; Ping An Bank is the deep value contrarian pick; Minsheng is our fundamental sell

Palo Alto Networks’ Bold Shift: Can AI-Driven Security Keep Up with Cyber Threats?

By Baptista Research

  • Palo Alto Networks’ fiscal fourth quarter 2024 earnings announcement underscores both strides and challenges in the cybersecurity landscape, reflecting a dynamic sector intensively engaged with technological advancements and emerging threats.
  • Chairman and CEO Nikesh Arora detailed the company’s response to significant cybersecurity threats, including ransomware and public data extortion, emphasizing a heightened focus on AI and platformization to simplify client security architectures.
  • Financially, Palo Alto Networks reported exceeding its quarterly revenue and EPS guidance.

Insulet Corporation: Will The Enhanced Focus on MDI Market Segments Pay Off? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Insulet Corporation has demonstrated robust financial performance in the second quarter of 2024, aligning with the company’s primary goal of enhancing diabetes management through its Omnipod products.
  • Jim Hollingshead, the CEO, highlighted the significant demand for Omnipod 5, which has been central to the company’s growth both domestically and internationally.
  • The company’s innovation trajectory remains strong with numerous product launches, including the full market release of Omnipod 5 integrated with Dexcom’s G7.

GameStop’s Bumpy Road to Recovery: Is The Meme Stock Worth The Risk?

By Baptista Research

  • GameStop, a major player in the video game retail industry, revealed a complex scenario in its latest earnings presentation for the fourth quarter and full year 2022.
  • The company’s leadership highlighted substantial shifts in strategies aimed at improving profitability and creating sustainable long-term growth.
  • From a financial perspective, GameStop reported a net income of $48.2 million for the quarter, compared to a considerable net loss of $147.5 million in the same quarter of the previous year.

European Airlines – Fare Data Suggests Risk to EasyJet/Wizz Peak Summer but Winter More Encouraging

By Neil Glynn

  • Latest RDC fare data deep dive suggests scope for negative surprises at easyJet and Wizz Air – we publish a detailed analysis across booking windows.
  • ​easyJet fare data suggest potential for late-market disappointment, albeit winter prospects more encouraging.
  • Wizz Air fare data cast doubt on hopes for fare growth.

Ambarella’s AI Surge: Can IoT and Automotive Growth Drive Future Success?

By Baptista Research

  • Ambarella’s Q2 Fiscal Year 2025 earnings revealed a mixed yet promising scenario as the company navigates through a challenging economic environment while seizing growing demands for AI-powered solutions.
  • Dr. Fermi Wang, President and CEO, alongside CFO John Young, presented a detailed account of the company’s performance and future outlook which provides a comprehensive understanding of its position and strategies moving forward.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Teradyne Inc.: Expansion into High-Payload Robotics and Channel Growth Is A Critical Growth Lever! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Teradyne, a leading provider of automated test equipment, exhibited mixed financial results in the second quarter of 2024, grappling with various segment-specific dynamics and macroeconomic factors.
  • The company reported a robust performance in its System on Chip (SOC) and Memory segments, primarily boosted by elevated demand from cloud AI applications.
  • Additionally, Teradyne noted solid deliveries in the Compute sector, attributed to the dense network requirements of AI data centers.

The Descartes Systems Group: Advantage Through Strategic Acquisitions – Focus on BoxTop Technologies! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Descartes Systems Group has reported its quarterly financial results, illustrating a strong performance across several key financial metrics.
  • This performance is anchored by a 14% increase in total revenues yearover-year, with a significant component of this growth being organic, estimated at about 9%.
  • Furthermore, the company enjoyed a 23% increase in net income compared to the previous year, and adjusted EBITDA climbed by 17%, surpassing the company’s target growth range of 10%-15% annually.

Toll Brothers: Expanding Geographic Footprint & Emphasis on Spec Homes Driving Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Toll Brothers, a prominent homebuilder, showcased an optimistic third quarter for the 2024 fiscal year, reflecting growth and stability despite varied market conditions.
  • In this quarter, the company reported record home sale revenues of $2.72 billion, demonstrating a strong performance with the delivery of 2,814 homes at an average price of $968,000.
  • The adjusted gross margin significantly outperformed projections, reaching 28.8%, aided by operational efficiencies and a favorable mix of home sales.

💡 Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • ✓ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • ✓ Personalised Alerts
  • ✓ Custom Watchlists
  • ✓ Company Data and News
  • ✓ Events & Webinars