Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: TSMC Finishes 2023 With A Flourish and more

In today’s briefing:

  • TSMC Finishes 2023 With A Flourish
  • Genting Singapore: A Surprising Value Buy at $1.0l Sgd Driven by Post Covid Catalysts Ahead Die 2024
  • Korean Air: European Approval for Asiana Merger Reportedly Imminent
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.12) – Mainstream R&D Trend, Innovent, BeiGene, Sirnaomics, ImmuneOnco


TSMC Finishes 2023 With A Flourish

By William Keating

  • Q423 revenues amounted to NT$625,529. In US$ terms, using TSMC’s projected exchange rate of 32, this translates to  $19.55 billion, a ~13% increase QoQ, and a 2% decrease YoY.
  • FY 2023 revenues amounted to NT$2,161.74 billion, down 4.5% YoY. In US$ terms, this amounted to $69.1 billion, an 8.8% decrease YoY and the first such YoY decrease since 2009
  • While we foresee Q124 revenues being down 5-10% QoQ, we expect full year 2024 revenues to grow in the range of 5-10% YoY. 

Genting Singapore: A Surprising Value Buy at $1.0l Sgd Driven by Post Covid Catalysts Ahead Die 2024

By Howard J Klein

  • Parent Genting  Berhad Malaysia flagship properties doing well but many  of its global holdings spur questions about asset allocation strategy.
  • Genting Singapore, its integrated resort property Sentosa presents a strong buy story not only because it is  undervalued here but because its prospects post covid  are strong.
  • GB’s US footprint by  contrast poses questions  about the  hurdle rate of those huge investments to date given the intense competitive pressures in  mature gaming  markets.

Korean Air: European Approval for Asiana Merger Reportedly Imminent

By Neil Glynn

  • Reuters reported on the Friday that the European Commission is to accept concessions of four European route divestitures and the sale of Asiana’s cargo business.
  • The EC had set a preliminary decision deadline of 14 February.
  • US and Japanese approvals are still required, while it remains to be seen who might acquire Asiana Cargo.

China Healthcare Weekly (Jan.12) – Mainstream R&D Trend, Innovent, BeiGene, Sirnaomics, ImmuneOnco

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • The entire R&D cycle involves multi-party cooperation, leveraging one’s strengths. So, it is not difficult to understand some of the choices made by domestic pharmaceutical companies (e.g. Innovent, BeiGene).
  • Due to outdated technology, investment value of Sirnaomics is low, which means the likelihood of the company being acquired is also not high. We remain conservative about the outlook. 
  • ImmuneOnco’s stock price has performed much better-than-expected after IPO on HKEX. However, the endgame of ImmuneOnco’s market value could be only about RMB1.5 billion, which means large potential downside ahead.

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