Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Travelsky (696 HK): Big Jan and Feb so Far and more

• Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) share price has recovered by 25% since January 2024 sell off
• CNY travel data indicates a huge potential of revenue increase for Travelsky.
• At 18x PER, Travelsky has become a bargain in the travel sector that is clearly rebounding. 

• Concerns around slowdown in growth are behind the disconnect between PDD’s stellar 4Q23 results and lackluster share performance, in our view.
• We have seen this before. If history is a guide, its valuation will improve after growth hits bottom in 1Q24.
• We expect PDD to deliver 50% plus growth for 2024 and generate US$14 billion adjusted net profit. Reiterate US$240 billion target market cap or 50% upside.

• Organic growth in J&T’s China operations exceeded that of peers…
• …but the implosion of New Markets and X-Border is a shock
• Lower margins from SE Asian cash cow also a surprise, in our view

• Benefiting from changes in pandemic prevention policies and favorable reimbursement policy support, TCM injections market would end its years of continuous decline and enter a period of rapid growth again.
• After Novo Nordisk acquires Catalent, China CXOs would be less likely to obtain the global GLP-1 orders. As MNCs rethink supply chain issues, China CXOs would face more challenges.
• Against the backdrop of anti-corruption/import substitution, investment logic of United Imaging is solid. However, the biggest issue is high valuation. Fundamentals’re difficult to support more than RMB100 billion market value.

• Fu Shou Yuan (1448 HK)‘s net profit grew 20.1% in FY23; and if not a withholding tax of Rmb87.4m, its net profit would have increased by over 30%.  
• Including a special DPS of HK$0.2139, full-year payout ratio reached 98.5%. Still, it has net cash of Rmb2.7bn or 24% of its market capitalisation.
• Profitability outlook is encouraging – structural demand increase, higher ASP, and well-contained costs. Its land reserve is enough to be consumed for 82 years.

• NAVF and Dalton invest heavily in Hogy Medical, eyeing its market dominance and growth potential in disposable surgical equipment
• Despite past underperformance, NAVF’s proactive engagement signals a push for a more aggressive overseas expansion
• We see a number of continued catalysts for future shareholder value enhancement and improved corporate governance position

• Healthy sales volume (up by 9% YoY to 512,205 MT) drive revenues in Q3FY24
• EBITDA per ton remain subdued, but expected to steadily gather strength
• Acquisitions coupled with ramp up of existing capacity will help take the growth story forward

• Crypto mining requires high capital investment, faces volatile bitcoin prices, and will experience upcoming revenue cuts due to the halving on April 16th
• Experts believe the risks outweigh the potential for short-term success in crypto mining, making it unlikely to generate significant free cash flow in the long term
• Examples like MARA, which saw a significant increase in revenue at a small fraction of its market value, showcase the precarious nature of the industry

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• Sanjiu’s 2023 performance was below expectations, mainly due to the VBP of TCM formula granules and the anti-corruption since 23Q3. But dividend payout ratio reached 51.96%, the highest since 2001.
• The prescription drug business would be the core of Sanjiu’s performance changes in next two years, especially TCM injection business, which would be benefit from favorable medical insurance reimbursement policy.
• Sanjiu’s management expects to achieve double-digit revenue growth in 2024, with net profit matching the level of revenue growth.We think 2024 performance growth would be lower than that in 2023.

• Share buybacks by primary-listed companies Institutions were net buyers of Singapore stocks over the five trading sessions through to Mar 21, with S$257 million of net institutional inflow, as 23 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$26.5 million.
• This followed her acquisition of 13,900 shares at an average price of S$0.48 per share on Mar 7, and 191,500 shares at S$0.49 per share on Mar 11.