Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): Q3 FY24 Preview and Future Catalysts and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): Q3 FY24 Preview and Future Catalysts
  • Fast Retailing: Earnings Preview
  • Top 20 Korean Construction Companies: Off-Balance Sheet Contingent Liabilities To Drive Lower Prices
  • Bajaj Finance: Q3FY24 Preview
  • Alteogen (196170 KS): First Proprietary Product Approval in Korea To Improve Revenue Visibility


Taste Gourmet (8371 HK): Q3 FY24 Preview and Future Catalysts

By Sameer Taneja

  • We expect Q3 FY24 revenues/profits to be >40%/>70% YoY for Taste Gourmet (8371 HK) for their results in early February. 
  • Another catalyst we look forward to in CY24 is the main board listing on HKex. The timeline, we believe, should be in the second half of the year.
  • Trading at 6x PE with an 8.5% dividend yield and cash of 130 mn HKD, or about 21% of the market cap, is one of our top dividend gems.

Fast Retailing: Earnings Preview

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • While domestic revenues may have slowed, Uniqlo’s domestic OP shows upside potential driven by gross margin growth and a gradual reduction in SG&A costs.
  • Meanwhile, we expect Uniqlo’s International business OP to surpass ¥75bn, driven by a rebound in China demand  and strong momentum in South Korea, SE Asia & Ocenia.
  • Thus, we see the upcoming earnings as a compelling opportunity for trading Fast Retailing (9983 JP).

Top 20 Korean Construction Companies: Off-Balance Sheet Contingent Liabilities To Drive Lower Prices

By Douglas Kim

  • We argue that the top 20 listed construction companies in Korea are likely to underperform KOSPI in 2024 mainly due to the excessive risks in the housing/commercial real estate sectors.
  • We expect the share prices of these 20 domestic construction companies to fall by at least 15%-20%+ on average in the next 6-12 months. 
  • On 2 January 2024, Financial Supervisory Service (FSS) announced that there will be new reporting requirements for PF loans of Korean construction companies starting 2023 annual reports.

Bajaj Finance: Q3FY24 Preview

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Bajaj Finance Ltd (“BAF”) reported key performance metrics for Q3FY24. It reported strong growth, particularly in AUM which grew 7%+ QoQ and 35% YoY to reach INR 311,000cr.
  • Customer franchise grew 5%+ QoQ to reach 80.41mm, surpassing the 80mm mark. New loans booked grew to 9.86mm, a growth of 26% YoY and 15%+ QoQ.
  • The liability book also did well with deposits growing at around 6% QoQ and 35% YoY to reach INR 58,000cr.

Alteogen (196170 KS): First Proprietary Product Approval in Korea To Improve Revenue Visibility

By Tina Banerjee

  • Alteogen Inc (196170 KS)‘s first proprietary recombinant human hyaluronidase liquid product, Tergase (ALT-BB4) is currently under approval process in Korea and is expected to receive approval in early 2024.  
  • Tergase is a stand-alone hyaluronidase product that can be used for the treatment of various medical conditions, such as pain relief, edema treatment, and hyaluronic acid filler removal.
  • Compared to commercially available animal-derived hyaluronidase products in the market, Tergase is a highly purified product of high-quality with very few impurities and an excellent side effect profile.

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