Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Running Out Of Puff? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Running Out Of Puff?
  • Mega Caps Thrive But Other Tech Firms Are Punished for Lack of AI-Linked Earnings Potential
  • The Beat Ideas: Kama Holdings- A Growing Player at Deep Discount
  • Asics (7936) | Raising the Bar
  • Midea Real Estate (3990 HK):  Divesting Property Development Business (Cash Option At 57% Premium)
  • Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jun-2024): Konrad Young pushes Taiwan-UK collab in quantum tech
  • 4Q Follow-Up – Torex Semiconductor (6616 JP)
  • China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Still Warrants a Look
  • Nu Ride (NRDE) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024
  • Lincoln National Corp (LNC) – Monday, Mar 25, 2024


StubWorld: Sun Corp (6736 JP) Running Out Of Puff?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Trading comfortably through the Partial Offer terms, Sun Corp (6736 JP) may still do nothing with its Cellebrite DI (CLBT US) holding towards narrowing the NAV discount.
  • Preceding my comments on Sun Corp are the current setup/unwind tables for Asia-Pacific Holdcos.
  • These relationships trade with a minimum liquidity of US$1mn, and a % market capitalisation >20%.

Mega Caps Thrive But Other Tech Firms Are Punished for Lack of AI-Linked Earnings Potential

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Mega cap stocks like Nvidia, Alphabet, and Microsoft surpass lofty market expectations, in the latest earnings season leading to continued rallies. 
  • Profits from AI innovations are accumulating predominantly at the bottom of the supply chain, benefiting large hardware and cloud service providers. 
  • Smaller tech companies, including Salesforce, MongoDB, and Dell, have experienced sharp corrections due to lofty expectations and their limited capacity to generate significant AI revenue.

The Beat Ideas: Kama Holdings- A Growing Player at Deep Discount

By Sudarshan Bhandari


Asics (7936) | Raising the Bar

By Mark Chadwick

  • Asics has demonstrated impressive growth in gross profit margins, as evidenced by 4.3ppt YoY improvement in Q1 to 54.5%
  • Asics has been successful in growing market share and enhancing its brand strength
  • For FY2024, we now forecast a 10% YoY increase in sales to ¥628 billion and a 46% rise in OP to ¥79 billion (prev: ¥ 71b)

Midea Real Estate (3990 HK):  Divesting Property Development Business (Cash Option At 57% Premium)

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • Midea Real Estate Holding (3990 HK) announced last night a proposal for distribution in specie of the property development business to shareholders.
  • The proposal allows shareholders to select between receiving pro rata shares in the PrivateCo, or the cash alternative at HKD5.90 per share, a 57% premium to last close at HKD3.75. 
  • I believe this is a good deal for minority shareholders.  The company (ex. property development business) will continue to be listed on the HKSE after the distribution. 

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (25-Jun-2024): Konrad Young pushes Taiwan-UK collab in quantum tech

By Tech Supply Chain Tracker

  • Former TSMC R&D director Konrad Young advocates for a partnership between Taiwan and the UK in quantum technology.
  • Chinese car brands attract young Thai consumers with innovative smart cockpit features, winning over the market.
  • Xiaomi implements strategic changes in India after a decade of entering the market, adapting to new trends and demands.

4Q Follow-Up – Torex Semiconductor (6616 JP)

By Sessa Investment Research

  • While current underlying demand has yet to show signs of a strong recovery, progress has been made in inventory adjustments in the distribution supply chain, and TOREX expects a recovery in sales from the 2H of 2024, and the top priority for this term is strengthening sales expansion initiatives.
  • Regarding the initial FY25/3 consolidated OP forecast, in addition to a contribution of ¥1,150mn from the +8.7% YoY increase in net sales, the decrease of ¥2,370mn in inventory write-downs in manufacturing cost of sales will drive a strong recovery in OP.
  • Although capex is set to decline -31.9% YoY to ¥3,600mn (mainly for equipment being installed in the new Phenitec Kagoshima Fab clean room), having peaked out last term, depreciation will increase +27.7% YoY to ¥3,000mn as the new clean room has started operations. 

China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Still Warrants a Look

By Osbert Tang, CFA

  • China Gas Holdings (384 HK)‘s FY24 result is distorted by non-recurring items and provisions. Adjusted net profit, however, has declined by only 4.3%, and is only 2.6% below consensus. 
  • FY25 guidance looks positive as a 6% increase in dollar margin and a 5% increase in gas volume are expected. The Apr-May operating figures support such projections.
  • China Gas maintained its DPS despite a drop in reported profit, showcasing its confidence. Assuming the same dividend in FY25 and FY26, it will sit on a yield of 7%. 

Nu Ride (NRDE) – Friday, Mar 22, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Nu Ride is a SPAC with $2.5 per share in cash and $1 billion in net operating losses
  • Company has $2.9 per share of net cash and $2.0 per share of perpetual preferred held by Foxconn
  • Ongoing litigation actions against Foxconn and former executives could result in potential increase in net cash value to $4.5 per share

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Lincoln National Corp (LNC) – Monday, Mar 25, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • LNC is poised for growth in the U.S. life insurance market due to improving fundamentals, positive earnings per share revisions, and an attractive valuation
  • Despite past challenges with capital and credibility, management has successfully addressed issues and reshaped the business, leading to a clear roadmap for future growth
  • With potential catalysts on the horizon, LNC has significant upside potential and the possibility of a shift in investor sentiment in the near future.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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