Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: SingPost (SPOST SP): What Next After FMH Sale? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • SingPost (SPOST SP): What Next After FMH Sale?
  • Fast Retailing (9983) | Inditex’s Q3 Miss – Implications for Uniqlo
  • AMD’s Lisa Su Named Time CEO Of The Year
  • Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety – December 2024
  • Vishal Mega Mart IPO- Forensic Analysis
  • Pou Sheng (3813) – Wednesday, Sep 11, 2024
  • Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG LN) – Tuesday, Sep 10, 2024
  • Tal Education Group (TAL) – Wednesday, Sep 11, 2024
  • GTN Ltd – Cost out, utilisation recovery and capital management
  • Raksul (4384) – Tuesday, Sep 10, 2024


SingPost (SPOST SP): What Next After FMH Sale?

By David Blennerhassett

  • Singapore Post (SPOST SP) is selling its key asset, Australian-based Freight Management Holdings (FMH), for an enterprise value of S$897.6mn, which will generate a gain on disposal of S$312.1mn.
  • SingPost will apply the proceeds to paring down its Aussie dollar-denominated debt. SingPost will also consider, in due course, the payment of a special dividend.
  • Once the FMH transaction completes, the board will “review and reset the Group’s strategic plan, with a continued focus on shareholder value“.

Fast Retailing (9983) | Inditex’s Q3 Miss – Implications for Uniqlo

By Mark Chadwick

  • Inditex’s rare quarterly miss on sales and profit, driven by currency fluctuations, may heighten sensitivity around Fast Retailing’s upcoming Q1 results
  • For Fast, the risk would be a top-line miss given high valuation multiples and elevated expectations
  • Over the past several quarters, Fast’s superior top line growth has supported higher valuation multiples. We expect 9% revenue growth in Q1

AMD’s Lisa Su Named Time CEO Of The Year

By William Keating

  • AMD’s Lisa Su has been honoured as Time’s CEO of the year, a fitting tribute to a leader who  pulled off what many thought to be impossible
  • Despite flawless execution and carving out a brand new $5 billion market segment within AI Acceleration, AMD’s share prices is down 44% from its 52 week high
  • AMD will ultimately face headwinds from Arm but, for the time being, their growth will come from continuing to take market share from Intel and building on their Instinct platform 

Shortlist Of High Conviction Ideas: Income, Value, and Margin of Safety – December 2024

By Sameer Taneja


Vishal Mega Mart IPO- Forensic Analysis

By Nitin Mangal

  • Vishal Mega Mart (1620871D IN) IPO worth INR 80 bn is about to open this week. The IPO constitutes entirely of OFS. 
  • The company is one of the top 3 offline first retailers, the most diversified retailers and caters to middle income and lower income group, largely in Tier 2 locations. 
  • As far as forensics are concerned, one must pay attention to exorbitantly high attrition levels, rising related party transactions, few puzzling line items noticed in books, etc.

Pou Sheng (3813) – Wednesday, Sep 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Pou Sheng, the second-largest sporting goods retailer in China, is facing challenges like declining sales
  • The company is trading at an undervalued price with a negative EV but remains profitable
  • Despite concerns about China’s geopolitical situation and low cash returns, Pou Sheng offers a high dividend yield and has a strong balance sheet with significant net tangible asset value, indicating potential for upside if sales performance improves.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Baltic Classifieds Group (BCG LN) – Tuesday, Sep 10, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • BCG is a dominant operator of online classified assets in Lithuania and Estonia, with potential expansion into Latvia
  • Despite being in the early stages of monetization, BCG shows strong earnings growth potential and appeals to private equity buyers
  • BCG’s focus on generalist and vertical classifieds, with various monetization strategies, positions them well for continued growth and success

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


Tal Education Group (TAL) – Wednesday, Sep 11, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • The author presents an analysis of TAL Education Group, highlighting its low valuation and steady growth among Chinese ADRs
  • TAL has a current market cap of $4.5B, net cash of $3.8B, and generated $200m in operating cash flow in the last quarter
  • The company is projected to have $4.5B in net cash by the end of 2025, with revenue expected to grow at a 30% CAGR and reach over $2.5B with a 15% operating margin by 2026

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


GTN Ltd – Cost out, utilisation recovery and capital management

By Research as a Service (RaaS)

  • RaaS is initiating coverage of media group GTN (ASX:GTN) with a base peer EV/EBITDA-derived valuation of $0.81/share, representing potential capital upside of 40% from the current share price, although we suggest premiums of 10% and 20% to the peer average are justified based on GTN’s superior metrics.
  • • GTN has seen improved adjusted EBITDA across FY23 (+13.5%) and FY24 (+15%) but the utilisation rate of advertising spots is still below pre-pandemic levels.
  • We believe further improvements in utilisation together with some stock-specific cost reductions will drive EBITDA 31% higher in FY25, placing the group on very attractive multiples relative to peers.

Raksul (4384) – Tuesday, Sep 10, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • Raksul operates niche B2B online marketplaces in Japan with exceptional shareholder alignment
  • Recent dip in stock value due to market trends, but shows promise for 2-4x returns in next two years
  • Unique approach to collecting tolls on indirect costs for SMEs in Japan sets them apart in the industry

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


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