Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Sea Ltd – Just About Doomed and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Sea Ltd – Just About Doomed
  • Evolution Gaming: The World’s Largest Casino, Which You Probably Never Heard Of
  • PureTech Health (PRTC LN): Continued Value Unlocking; Multiple Catalysts Are Pushing Up Stock Price
  • Salesforce.com Inc: Code Builder Update & Other Drivers
  • Capri Holdings: Digital Momentum & Other Drivers
  • Breaking Estimate Short Candidates: Upstart, Cerence, Zillow, Trex
  • Campbell Soup Inc: Online Sales As A Key Driver & Other Factors Driving Growth

Sea Ltd – Just About Doomed

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri

  • It was reported yesterday that Sea Ltd (SE US)‘s e-commerce arm “Shopee” has begun rescinding job offers.
  • Having burnt around $2.0bn during the first six months of 2022 pursuing e-commerce and fintech growth aspirations, this seems like an extreme measure to ensure the company’s survival.
  • With the gaming profitability fading, we are starting to think that even the extreme cost-cutting could be insufficient to overturn Sea’s e-commerce and fintech cash burn.

Evolution Gaming: The World’s Largest Casino, Which You Probably Never Heard Of

By Steven Chen

  • Although lesser-known, this Swedish company dominates one of the most lucrative segments of the global casino industry.
  • In our view, it is probably the only investable casino company, and despite its size, still has a massive growth runway ahead.
  • Our DCF model implies a 15%-20% total return for the company’s long-term shareholders.

PureTech Health (PRTC LN): Continued Value Unlocking; Multiple Catalysts Are Pushing Up Stock Price

By Tina Banerjee

  • PureTech Health (PRTC LN) has raised approximately $115.4 million through partial offloading of stake in Karuna Therapeutics Inc (KRTX US). PureTech will continue to hold 3.5% of Karuna’s outstanding shares.
  • Following the transactions, PureTech has updated guidance to extend its operational runway to Q1 2026 from prior cash runway guidance into Q1 2025.
  • Karuna plans to submit a new drug application for KarXT in schizophrenia with the FDA in mid-2023. As a co-inventor of KarXT, PureTech has the right to receive royalty.

Salesforce.com Inc: Code Builder Update & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Salesforce has generated excellent revenue growth, profitability, and cash flows in its last result, surpassing Wall Street expectations on all counts despite operating in a challenging financial climate.
  • With new clients like the U.S.
  • Department of Veterans Affairs, Workday, and Uber, Service Cloud grew 14% year over year or 18% in constant currency.

Capri Holdings: Digital Momentum & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Capri has seen a decent performance across all three of its luxury residences and 2022 has been delivering better results than the management had anticipated.
  • The company delivered an all-around beat with a revenue of $1.36 billion, which exceeded management and market expectations.
  • Fendace combined unique features with classic silhouettes from two renowned Italian luxury brands, Fendi and Versace.

Breaking Estimate Short Candidates: Upstart, Cerence, Zillow, Trex

By Eric Fernandez, CFA

  • This model finds companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.
  • The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business. 
  • Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag:  Upstart, Cerence, Zillow, Trex

Campbell Soup Inc: Online Sales As A Key Driver & Other Factors Driving Growth

By Baptista Research

  • The demand for Campbell’s portfolio of brands continued to be strong in the last quarter and it was able to match the market’s revenue expectations through its result.
  • The company was able to deliver an earnings beat as it enhanced supply chain performance and put into place efficient revenue management to combat inflation.
  • Their Win in Soup approach will remain strong in fiscal 2023 largely due to innovation.

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