Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Rorze (6323) | Outperforming Expectations Despite 200% Share Price Rally and more

• Rorze exceeds expectations in FY2/24 with a 6% revenue beat and an 11% surpass in operating profit, setting a record-high revenue of 28 billion yen in 4Q FY2/24.
• FY2/25 revenue guidance of 120 billion yen marks a 12% beat against analyst estimates, with operating profit expected to hit 32 billion yen, outperforming expectations by 10%.
• Rorze’s stock, though no longer deeply undervalued, remains reasonably priced at 16.5x NTM EBIT, indicating strong potential for earnings growth-driven future upside.

• We believe the criticism against Nongfu Spring will eventually help the company.
• Catching the trend of sugar free, tea revenue surged by 83% in 2023.
• The company achieved higher growth and higher margin, but its stock price is still flat.

• NetEase will be Activision Blizzard’s agency in China again after a divorce more than a year ago.
• Alibaba’s cloud service plans to reduce its overseas price offers by 23% on average.
• Infant formula companies, such as Feihe and Ausnutria, suffered from revenue shrinkage in 2023.

• On April 9, J&T disclosed operating stats from Q124 — a positive surprise
• We welcome the disclosure, but J&T should also explain X-border’s demise
• We believe J&T’s China operation remains far less profitable than its peers’

• Sea Limited is a gaming and e-commerce company in Southeast Asia that has experienced fluctuations in its stock price but has strong underlying business performance.
• Founded in 2009 as Garena by CEO Forrest Li, the company rebranded to Sea Ltd in 2017 and gained access to a wide range of games through Tencent’s investment in 2010.
• After achieving profitability in 2023, Sea Ltd is now focused on accelerating growth and drawing comparisons to Amazon’s early years.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

• We look at Asia, and see where there are interesting trade idea.  While HK/CH see investors’ capitulation, there are some interesting ideas in Singapore
• We focus on real estate and look at S-REITs, which just wrap up their 4Q 23 results.  We see divergence in terms of industry fundamentals
• Within S-REITs, we like industrial and retail given stronger industry fundamentals and stable asset valuation

• Travelsky Technology Ltd H (696 HK) Jan-Feb operational data strong, volume processed by domestic +45% YoY and international by +52% YoY; much higher than the consensus 2024 forecast of 15%  
• Traffic among the Big 3 Chinese airlines was up 46% YoY (-9% MoM) in March to +8% vs 2019. Domestic traffic rose 19% YoY (-11% MoM) to +24% vs 2019
• TP of HKD9.92 (+8% UPSIDE) is based on 2024 PE 14.8x (1SD below mean). The upside is uncompelling, but we advocate a HOLD as traffic growth is stronger than consensus   

• Sam Goi continues to boost his stakes in PSC and GSH INSTITUTIONS were net sellers of Singapore stocks over the four trading sessions from Apr 5 to 11, with S$44 million of net institutional outflow, as 21 primary-listed companies conducted buybacks with a total consideration of S$25 million.
• He acquired 144,700 shares of the company at S$0.352 per share, taking his total interest from 30.74 per cent to 30.77 per cent.
• Goi also bought more shares of GSH Corporation, where he also serves as executive chairman.

• Vinfast (VFS US) is large on promise but low on delivery, with sales in FY2023 coming in well below expectations, and the vast majority being to related companies. 
• The company is building huge capacity in Vietnam, India, and Indonesia in the region, and in the US, where sales have been slow but where capex is required.
• Vingroup has set up ride-hailing company GSM, using Vinfast vehicles for its fleet, making up 50% of its sales in 2023, leaving question marks over the sustainability of its model.

• Eubiologics (206650 KS) received UNICEF oral cholera vaccine order of KRW124B in 2024. This is nearly 1.9x higher than last year’s sales, making the case for record-high sales in 2024.
• Eubiologics is not expecting any near-term competition. The company is boosting its production capability to 90M doses annually by 2025 from 33M doses currently.
• Eubiologics is planning to enter the premium vaccine market, which should further accelerate the revenue growth and improve its margins. Recently, Bionote (377740 KS) has increased stake in Eubiologics.