Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Point A | Point B | (September 2024) and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Point A | Point B | (September 2024)
  • China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) – CR Sanjiu’s Trouble, Weight-Loss Drug Market Saturation, Keymed
  • Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Back to Higher Premium Range; ASE Premium Remains Collapsed
  • The Timken Company: Initiation Of Coverage – Expanding Industrial Motion Revenue and Market Presence Catalyzing Growth! – Major Drivers
  • Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update
  • Hexcel Corp – cCorporation: Initiation Of Coverage – Their Business Strategy
  • Installed Building Products: Initiation Of Coverage – Market Penetration and Expansion in Multi-Family Sector & Other Major Drivers
  • Allegheny Technologies: Initiation Of Coverage – Titanium and High-Performance Materials Expansion & Other Major Drivers
  • MKS Instruments Inc: Initiation Of Coverage – Will The Expansion into Artificial Intelligence Server Market Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers
  • MSC Industrial Direct Co: Initiation Of Coverage – Is Their Enhanced Digital Infrastructure A Key Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers


Monthly Container Shipping Tracker | Point A | Point B | (September 2024)

By Daniel Hellberg

  • Price momentum in August eased slightly vs July, the first M/M dip since March
  • In the next two months, seasonality will moderate and Y/Y comps will get tougher
  • If Q4 momentum wanes, we feel continued strong share performance less likely

China Healthcare Weekly (Sep.22) – CR Sanjiu’s Trouble, Weight-Loss Drug Market Saturation, Keymed

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Anhui’s new VBP included OTC TCM for the first time, which poses a big challenge to the pricing autonomy of CR Sanjiu. This makes Sanjiu’s acquisition of Tasly more important/urgent. 
  • Novo Nordisk’s performance has raised concerns. The capacity bottleneck for weight-loss drugs seems resolved. Could this signal that the market for weight-loss drugs is reaching its peak?
  • Keymed Biosciences (2162 HK)’s CM310 will miss this year’s NRDL negotiations, putting the company at a disadvantage. Considering the competitive landscape, we are concerned about Keymed’s performance.

Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Back to Higher Premium Range; ASE Premium Remains Collapsed

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • TSMC: +17.5% Premium; Recent Trading Back in the 15-20% Range
  • UMC: -0.3% Discount; Middle of the Range, Rising Short Interest in Taiwan
  • ASE: +2.2% Premium; Spiking Short Interest in Taiwan Listed Shares

The Timken Company: Initiation Of Coverage – Expanding Industrial Motion Revenue and Market Presence Catalyzing Growth! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The Timken Company, a diversified leader in the industrial sector, recently presented its financial results for the second quarter of 2024.
  • In terms of financial performance, The Timken Company reported a revenue decline of 7% from the previous year, attributed primarily to a significant decrease in demand within the renewable energy sector, specifically from China Wind.
  • Nevertheless, areas like rail, aerospace, and industrial distribution showed organic growth that helped offset the downturn from the renewable energy market.

Tsuruha Holdings (3391 JP): Q1 FY02/25 flash update

By Shared Research

  • Sales increased 5.2% YoY to JPY273.4bn, with operating profit growing 7.1% YoY to JPY15.1bn.
  • The revised forecast for FY02/25 includes revenue of JPY850.8bn and net income of JPY22.2bn.
  • FY02/25 will cover a 9.5-month period, with expected one-time expenses and unchanged annual dividend levels.

Hexcel Corp – cCorporation: Initiation Of Coverage – Their Business Strategy

By Baptista Research

  • Hexcel Corporation has presented its second quarter 2024 results, which showed a commendable performance in several areas, although it also came with cautious revisions for future expectations due to emerging market conditions.
  • This detailed analysis seeks to outline both strengths and challenges as elucidated during the earnings call.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Installed Building Products: Initiation Of Coverage – Market Penetration and Expansion in Multi-Family Sector & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • Installed Building Products’ fiscal 2024 second quarter showcased a dynamic operating environment with improvements and strategic divestitures reflecting the company’s focus on core growth areas.
  • Key financial results included an impressive increase in single-family sales, steady multi-family segment performance, and a slight uptick in commercial sales, albeit varying by submarket dynamics.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

Allegheny Technologies: Initiation Of Coverage – Titanium and High-Performance Materials Expansion & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • ATI’s earnings for the second quarter of 2024 have underlined robust performance with several notable achievements and positive guidance updates, along with particular areas of focus and needed improvement.
  • These highlights capture both the company’s current strengths and the challenges it navigates in a competitive and evolving market.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

MKS Instruments Inc: Initiation Of Coverage – Will The Expansion into Artificial Intelligence Server Market Be A Game Changer? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MKS Instruments demonstrated robust financial management and strategic positioning in its second-quarter results for the fiscal year 2024.
  • With a reported revenue of $887 million, the company performed at the high end of its guidance, supported by an earnings per share (EPS) of $1.53—a figure that not only exceeded their projected high but also included the positive impact of reduced interest expenses from recent financial maneuvers.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

MSC Industrial Direct Co: Initiation Of Coverage – Is Their Enhanced Digital Infrastructure A Key Growth Catalyst? – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc., in its fiscal third quarter 2024 earnings report, highlighted several key aspects of its current state and future strategies amid a challenging macroeconomic environment.
  • The company’s focus remains on improving its web initiatives, customer engagement, and operational efficiency while dealing with unexpected gross margin pressures and delays in strategic projects.
  • Baptista Research looks to evaluate the different factors that could influence the company’s price in the near future and attempts to carry out an independent valuation of the company using a Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) methodology.

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