Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Micron. Zoom and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Micron. Zoom, Zoom, Zoom, We’re Going To The Moon…
  • Micron and WFE
  • This Is How Industrial Policy Can Go Bad
  • The Beat Ideas- Himadri Speciality Chemical: Vertical Integration into Tyre & Li-Ion Batteries
  • Lao Feng Xiang (900905) – Friday, Jun 28, 2024
  • [Earnings Preview] Chevron Faces Pressure from Tight Refining Margins and Increased Maintenance
  • Skyward Specialty Insurance: Leveraging Insurtech for Growth in Underserved Markets
  • Tesla Gears Up for Game-Changing Robotaxi Event Amid EV Sales Surge
  • Chinese Animal Spirits
  • Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): Reports Phase 3 Trial Result in Atopic Dermatitis; Rivalry Remains Doubtful


Micron. Zoom, Zoom, Zoom, We’re Going To The Moon…

By William Keating

  • Q424 revenue $7.8 billion which was $200 million above the guided midpoint, up 14% QoQ and up 93% YoY.
  • Q125 revenue of $8.7 billion with gross margin 39.5%. This will be the company’s highest ever quarterly revenue
  • On track for ~20% share of a $25 billion HBM market in 2025

Micron and WFE

By Douglas O’Laughlin

  • Just two weeks ago, I wrote about how I thought this was a mid-memory cycle.
  • I mainly supported the memory companies if you didn’t read between the lines (ChatGPT o1 (Strawberry) and Memory)
  • Fast-forward a week, and it seems that the calls for the end of memory were a bit premature.

This Is How Industrial Policy Can Go Bad

By Odd Lots

  • American Express Business Gold Card offers flexible spending capacity and annual statement credits
  • Good news on chip production in the US with TSMC’s new fab in Arizona
  • Discussion on the design, success, and failure of industrial policy with guest Vivek Chibber

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


The Beat Ideas- Himadri Speciality Chemical: Vertical Integration into Tyre & Li-Ion Batteries

By Sudarshan Bhandari

  • Himadri Speciality Chemical (HSCH IN)‘s expansion into Li-ion batteries and tires, with a massive Rs. 1,100 crore capex and Birla Tyres acquisition.
  • Diversification into sunrise industries boosts margins, strengthens competitive positioning, and supports long-term growth.
  • HSCL’s evolving business model makes it more than just a carbon company, enhancing its growth potential and resilience.

Lao Feng Xiang (900905) – Friday, Jun 28, 2024

By Value Investors Club

  • LFX is a heritage jewelry retailer with almost 180 years of history, traded on the Shanghai Stock Exchange
  • A shares trade at around 14-15x TTM earnings with a 3% yield, while B shares trade at a significant discount of 5x TTM earnings and a 7% yield
  • Opportunity for investors to own stake in a growing business with strong returns on capital and conservative management at a discounted price, due to lack of attention to the B share class.

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


[Earnings Preview] Chevron Faces Pressure from Tight Refining Margins and Increased Maintenance

By Suhas Reddy

  • Chevron’s Q3 revenue is expected to decline by 7% YoY, with EPS projected to fall 8.9% due to contracting refining margins and lower price realisations.
  • The early September plunge in oil prices may further squeeze already tight refining margins. Management anticipates a slowdown in output due to increased maintenance in Q3.
  • Chevron became the most shorted large-cap stock in the US in August, with shares shorted increasing by over USD 200 million amid growing bearish sentiment.

Skyward Specialty Insurance: Leveraging Insurtech for Growth in Underserved Markets

By Pyari Menon

  • One of the areas of fintech innovations, seeing significant growth is insurtech. Big data, AI, and IoT have enabled innovations in customer experience, risk assessment, and personalized products.
  • Skyward Specialty Insurance Gr (SKWD US)‘s focus on underserved and complex markets, with unique risks, should give the company better growth and margins runway. 
  • Integration of proprietary  and collaborative technologies to enhance operational efficiency and customer experience in specific niches makes Skyward very competitive in admitted and  specialty insurance segments. 

Tesla Gears Up for Game-Changing Robotaxi Event Amid EV Sales Surge

By Uttkarsh Kohli

  • Tesla projects Q3 2024 EV sales of 460,000–470,000, reflecting 8% YoY growth, driven by high demand in China and robust Gigafactory operations. 
  • The October 10 Robotaxi event will spotlight Tesla’s Full Self Driving tech, attracting intense investor interest in autonomous transportation’s future prospects. Investors eye a new cheaper Tesla model release.
  • Waymo leads the U.S. market, with 100,000+ weekly paid robotaxi trips, intensifying pressure on Tesla to match or surpass this scale in its robotaxi rollout. 

Chinese Animal Spirits

By Turtles all the way down

  • I am quite sick so I will keep it short.
  • I am closing Lufax (LU) here and would at least take something off the table for JD holdings (JD) 
  • Honestly Lufax business is too much of a black box, and the forward PE multiple isn’t low enough anymore for my taste.

Kyowa Kirin (4151 JP): Reports Phase 3 Trial Result in Atopic Dermatitis; Rivalry Remains Doubtful

By Tina Banerjee

  • Kyowa Kirin Co Ltd (4151 JP) announced top-line results of the Phase 3 trial of rocatinlimab targeting moderate to severe Atopic Dermatitis (eczema), which affects 6.6M patients in the U.S.
  • The trial met co-primary endpoints and reached statistically significant differences from placebo for all key secondary endpoints. However, efficacy data was less compelling compared to current standard of care.
  • Kyowa Kirin shares nosedived mainly on the concern over competitive strength of rocatinlimab. Amid gloomy outlook, Kyowa Kirin shares will need time to recover.

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