Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Meituan Food Delivery 4Q Updates and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Meituan Food Delivery 4Q Updates
  • Terumo Corp (4543 JP): H1FY23 Results Reflect Continued Recovery from the Pandemic
  • Shizuoka – Indigestion
  • Baidu: Initiation of Coverage – Market Position & Key Drivers
  • Alibaba Health Information Technology (241.HK) FY23H1 – Concerns Behind the Performance Turnaround
  • Wynn Resorts
  • Banorte and BanBajio – October Data Trends, a First Look at 4Q 2022; Returns Pressure Building?
  • Peloton Interactive Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Challenging Macro Environment & Other Factors
  • Our Models Suggest National Retail Properties Could Surge
  • Western Digital Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Collaborations & Other Drivers

Meituan Food Delivery 4Q Updates

By Xin Yu, CFA

  • Meituan food delivery order growth slowed down in Oct and Nov due to covid restrictions.
  • Meituan Instashopping continued to grow fast in terms of its daily orders.
  • TikTok food delivery service so far hasn’t posed big threats to Meituan. 

Terumo Corp (4543 JP): H1FY23 Results Reflect Continued Recovery from the Pandemic

By Tina Banerjee

  • Terumo Corp (4543 JP) recorded double-digit revenue growth in H1FY23, with record-high Q2 revenue exceeding ¥200 billion. All three businesses of Terumo reported growth during H1FY23.
  • Cardiac and vascular segment remained the key growth driver and grew 21%, driven by a 24% y/y growth in overseas revenue amid the recovery and growth of medical demand.
  • Inflation and normalization of sales and marketing activities impacted the profitability of the company. To improve profitability Terumo has taken further price increase in second half.

Shizuoka – Indigestion

By Daniel Tabbush

  • Credit costs in September quarter are showing steep delta YoY and QoQ
  • Accelerated credit growth in past six months may mean there is more to come
  • Funding cost surge is keeping net interest income growth near zero despite swelling loans

Baidu: Initiation of Coverage – Market Position & Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Chinese internet behemoth, Baidu.
  • The company’s operating loss and margin year over year and quarter over quarter for AI Cloud improved.
  • Their new AI businesses, like AI Cloud and Intelligent Driving, are in line with China’s national ambitions and digital innovation.

Alibaba Health Information Technology (241.HK) FY23H1 – Concerns Behind the Performance Turnaround

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Although Alibaba Health turned loss into profit in FY23H1, it was mainly benefited from the obvious effect of expenses control,which isn’t a long-term solution to achieve the goal of profit. 
  • Alibaba Health has a more difficult problem. The logic of relying on multiple entrances to obtain customers to drive online drug sales has failed to bring higher revenue growth.
  • In other to keep sustainable growth, it’s important for Alibaba Health to further improve user conversion rate. It is also urgent to actively expand new business growth points.

Wynn Resorts

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Wynn Resorts, a well-known operator of casinos and resorts across the globe.
  • The company observed strength throughout the casino, with record gross gaming revenue and record hotel revenue, driven by strength in both ADR and occupancy on the nongaming side.
  • In addition, Wynn is progressing with the planning for Wynn Marjan, their integrated resort in the United Arab Emirates.

Banorte and BanBajio – October Data Trends, a First Look at 4Q 2022; Returns Pressure Building?

By Victor Galliano

  • We analyse key trends to October 2022 for Banorte and Banco del Bajio, two of the top three ROE generating banks in Mexico which also trade on premium PBV ratios
  • For both, the challenges are funding costs that rise faster than loan yields, crimping credit spreads, as well as the indications that cost of risk may have bottomed out
  • Although the operating expenses ratio is well controlled so far, it seems unlikely that it can improve much more; these data trends add weight to our cautious view on Banorte

Peloton Interactive Inc.: Initiation of Coverage – Challenging Macro Environment & Other Factors

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Peloton Interactive, one of the most popular interactive fitness platforms in the world.
  • The company delivered a disappointing set of results as it failed to meet Wall Street expectations with respect to revenues as well as earnings.
  • We initiate coverage on the stock of Peloton Interactive, Inc. with a ‘Hold’ rating.

Our Models Suggest National Retail Properties Could Surge

By Pearl Gray Equity and Research

  • The Gordon’s Growth Model suggests National Retail Properties is severely undervalued.
  • In addition, a seasonal ARIMA model indicates the REIT’s dividend yield might be sustainable.
  • The REIT could be an outlier in 2023, according to the Gordon’s growth model.

Western Digital Corporation: Initiation of Coverage – Recent Collaborations & Other Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • This is our first report on Western Digital Corporation, one of the largest manufacturers and distributors of data storage devices and solutions in the world.
  • The HDD revenue of Western Digital during the quarter declined modestly.
  • Western Digital is deep into qualifying its most recent generation of hard drives, including its 26-terabyte UltraSMR hard drives, at numerous OEM and U.S. cloud customers.

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