Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Scorpio-N Fake Bookings and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Scorpio-N Fake Bookings
  • Breaking Estimates Short Candidates: Kulicke & Soffa, Kronos, Marvell Tech, Montauk Renewables
  • Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX US): A High-Quality Deep Pocket Biotech Must-Have for Every Investor
  • Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Earnings Miss Implies Margin Downside, Hon Hai Moving 30% Apple Business
  • Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Thai Joining SET50, Could Open Up Rare Rel Valuation Level
  • Micron Fiscal Q1: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term Gain
  • Splunk Is A Rare Tech Growth Opportunity For 2023

Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) | Scorpio-N Fake Bookings

By Pranav Bhavsar

  • One of our routine channels is suggesting the possibility of some of Mahindra & Mahindra (MM IN) ‘s Scorpio-N bookings being fake.
  • This channel (an online auto forum) has been a trusted source of information followed by various industry veterans including the company’s chairman.
  • While the rationalisation of fake bookings as a recent industry practice could solace some, the fallacy of the bookings narrative only gets stronger. 

Breaking Estimates Short Candidates: Kulicke & Soffa, Kronos, Marvell Tech, Montauk Renewables

By Eric Fernandez, CFA

  • This model finds companies facing recent sharp cuts in estimates. These shorts can have very disparate characteristics.
  • The key judgement involves whether the negative revisions are temporary or if they are indications of ongoing weakness in the business. 
  • Breaking Estimates stocks often continue to decline after the cuts.  This week we flag:  Kulicke & Soffa, Kronos, Marvell Tech, Montauk Renewables

Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX US): A High-Quality Deep Pocket Biotech Must-Have for Every Investor

By Tina Banerjee

  • Vertex Pharmaceuticals (VRTX US), the global leader in cystic fibrosis treatment, has a broad and deep clinical pipeline across multiple modalities. Each of its clinical programs represents a multibillion-dollar opportunity.  
  • MRNA drug candidate for treating the remaining 5,000 CF patients who cannot benefit from existing therapies, is set to enter clinic. Drug candidate for acute pain is in late-stage trial.
  • Regulatory submission for exa-cel for sickle cell disease and transfusion-dependent beta thalassemia in U.S., EU and UK are expected to be completed by 1Q23.

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Micron Earnings Miss Implies Margin Downside, Hon Hai Moving 30% Apple Business

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Micron released its latest results, missing expectations and implying more near-term pain for the memory chip space.
  • Hon Hai could shift 30% of its production for Apple outside of China according to an industry report.
  • Intel delays German expansion citing cost inflation, seeking additional government subsidies.

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Delta Thai Joining SET50, Could Open Up Rare Rel Valuation Level

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Delta Thailand will be joining the Thailand SET50 Index, as was predicted by Brian Freitas here on Smartkarma.
  • The “Illogical” valuation is back — Delta Taiwan trades as a smaller company despite being a substantially larger franchise.
  • Opportunity — Index-Related buying of Delta Thailand could open up one of the most historically extreme relative valuations for Delta Taiwan.

Micron Fiscal Q1: Short-Term Pain For Long-Term Gain

By Kevin George

  • Micron Technology, Inc. reported fiscal Q1 2023 earnings and announced cost-cutting measures.
  • Macroeconomic trends are still a drag, according to the company.
  • The company also announced cost cutting measures for the next year’s fiscal year.

Splunk Is A Rare Tech Growth Opportunity For 2023

By Kevin George

  • Splunk is stronger with Q3 earnings and guidance. The company is shadowed by takeover talk.
  • The company has a strong cloud market make it a buy. The firm is shadowing by takeover talks.
  • The firm has been in the news for more than two years.

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