Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Go Airlines (India) Limited- What’s at Stake? and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Go Airlines (India) Limited- What’s at Stake?
  • AMD: The Bear Market Rally Is Over
  • Prodia (PRDA IJ) – Shaking off the COVID Factor
  • SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS): Xcopri US Sales Doubled in 2022; More Stream Still Left
  • Nihon M&A: Puts Aside Mid-Term Growth Plan by Two Years
  • MediaTek Q1’23 Earnings NT$95.7 Billion, -11.6% QoQ , -33% YoY. Q2’23 Flat QoQ
  • Cleveland-Cliffs Inc: What Is Its True Moat Source? – Key Drivers
  • [RemeGen (9995 HK) Target Price Change]: Chinese Biotech Must Confine to the Biotech Role
  • TM: More High-Grade Drill Results; Mining Ahead of Schedule
  • Epwin Group – Solid results highlight management action

Go Airlines (India) Limited- What’s at Stake?

By Nitin Mangal

  • Go Air Limited (GO IN)‘s resistance to put its operational woes aside, has come to an end as the company has filed for insolvency.
  • In our previous IPO insight, Go Air IPO- In Search Of Smooth Landing we had highlighted several issues that were haunting the company, including the Pratt and Whitney trouble.
  • Now that the company has filed for insolvency, the search of smooth landing extends to the shareholders and the lenders.

AMD: The Bear Market Rally Is Over

By Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA

  • The sharp rebound of Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:AMD) over the recent months came to a sudden halt after market participants were once again surprised by the deteriorating outlook for the company.
  • Prompted by the bear market rally in

Prodia (PRDA IJ) – Shaking off the COVID Factor

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Prodia booked a softer set of numbers in 1Q2023 but reflected a higher COVID base plus 1Q2023 was impacted by the fasting month but the testing mix was positive.
  • The company will significantly increase capex this year with more outlet expansion and more investment into its digital business, which is becoming an increasingly important growth driver. 
  • Prodia (PRDA IJ) stands out as the unique diagnostic leader in Indonesia,  which trades at a significant discount to both local healthcare players and Indian diagnostic peers.

SK Biopharmaceuticals (326030 KS): Xcopri US Sales Doubled in 2022; More Stream Still Left

By Tina Banerjee

  • For 2022, SK Biopharmaceuticals Co Ltd (326030 KS) recorded Xcopri U.S. revenue of KRW169B, up 116% YoY. This year, the company expects to secure Xcopri sales of ~KRW300B in U.S.
  • Thus far, Xcopri has been launched in 15 countries in Europe. The company expects to launched Xcopri in eight more countries in Europe this year.
  • By 2025, SKBP plans to submit sNDA for cenobamate in primary generalized tonic-clonic (PGTC) seizures and pediatric patients, and carisbamate for orphan pediatric epilepsy.

Nihon M&A: Puts Aside Mid-Term Growth Plan by Two Years

By Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

  • Nihon M&A reported 4QFY03/2023 results last week. Revenue increased 86.7% YoY to ¥11.4bn (vs consensus ¥10.0bn) while OP for the quarter more than quadrupled to ¥4.2bn (vs consensus ¥4.9bn).
  • Full-Year FY03/2023 revenue of ¥41.3bn and OP of ¥15.3bn were slightly below guidance of ¥42bn and ¥18bn respectively and the company has put aside its medium-term growth plan by 2years.
  • We continue to prefer Baycurrent over Nihon M&A Center (2127 JP) in the Japanese consulting/M&A space as Baycurrent continues to make strong progress.

MediaTek Q1’23 Earnings NT$95.7 Billion, -11.6% QoQ , -33% YoY. Q2’23 Flat QoQ

By William Keating

  • Q1’23 revenues of NT$95.7 billion, down 11.6% sequentially and 33% year-over-year.
  • Q2’23 revenues sequentially flat at the midpoint. Longer replacement cycles and growing refurbishment market will see 2023 unit shipments decline a further ~10% YoY.
  • Strength in Smart Edge products (TV, Tablet, Telco, Automotive) continues to offset weakness in smartphones

Cleveland-Cliffs Inc: What Is Its True Moat Source? – Key Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • It was a successful Q4 for Cleveland-Cliffs as the company managed an all-around beat with lower-than-expected losses.
  • Cleveland-Cliffs supplies over 7 million tons of steel to the automotive industry, including 5 million tons of direct sales and over 2 million tons of indirect sales.
  • With typical volumes of 5 million tons per year, the company expects its full-year 2023 carbon flat-rolled steel selling price to increase to $1,415 per net ton, a $115 per net ton increase year over year.

[RemeGen (9995 HK) Target Price Change]: Chinese Biotech Must Confine to the Biotech Role

By Shawn Yang

  • RemeGen’s C1Q23 top line came in as 31% of our C1H23 estimate while IFRS operating loss came in as 55%. 
  • C1Q23 gross margin exceeded our C1H23 estimate by 12ppt, mainly due to restraining in shipment
  • We cut our product sales estimates and raise WACC by 1ppt to reflect concentrated risk, leading to TP reduction from US$64 to US$46.

TM: More High-Grade Drill Results; Mining Ahead of Schedule

By Atrium Research

  • This morning, Trigon Metals Inc. (TM:TSXV), announced additional high-grade drill results from its Kombat Mine in Namibia.
  • The Company reported drill results from 12 holes totalling 996m at the Kavango West area, 150m west of the Main Kavango Pit (Figure 1).
  • These results build upon the already reported high-grade copper drill results from the Main Kavango Pit and East 400 area (150m east of the Kavango Pit), highlighting the strong mineralization across the Kombat trend.

Epwin Group – Solid results highlight management action

By Edison Investment Research

Epwin’s FY22 results highlight both the challenging trading environment but also management’s ability to successfully handle inflationary pressures. Well-established long-term growth trends imply that Epwin is well placed to leverage off increasing demand for its energy efficient and low-maintenance building products. The acquisition of Poly-Pure and Mayfield underscore the company’s ambition and ability to self-finance accretive expansion. We anticipate further deals in the foreseeable future. Epwin trades on a P/E of 8.3x for FY23e versus a long-term average of 10.9x, with upside as and when margins recover further.


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