In today’s briefing:
- Ferrari (RACE US) Q2 2023: The Perfect Fisher Framework Stock That Keeps Executing
- ANZ – ACCC Denies ANZ’s Takeover of Suncorp, May Be Positive for ANZ After All
- Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)
- Toyota to Ramp Up Electric Car Push in China With R&D Revamp
- Amazon 2Q’23 Earnings Update
- Ideanomics Inc.: 4 Major Drivers That Are Taking The Company Forward! – Financial Forecasts
- TPL: Not Just Oil and Gas Story Anymore
- UPDATE NOTE – AdTheorent Holding Company, Inc.
- ASRT: Generic Risk Extends Timeline, PT $6
- Canacol Energy – Increasing activity
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Ferrari (RACE US) Q2 2023: The Perfect Fisher Framework Stock That Keeps Executing
- In our prior insight Ferrari: Classic Fisher Company, Almost Perfect Score on The Fisher 15 Framework, we talked about Ferrari N.V. (RACE US) being a classic Fisher company.
- Q2 2023 (a quarter with 14% revenue growth/34% profit growth) showed the execution runway (order book/product mix) is tremendous, and over the long term, value can be created.
- In the short term, though, trading at 46x/40x FY23e/FY24e despite upping its guidance, there could be a case to queue up for a more favorable entry price.
ANZ – ACCC Denies ANZ’s Takeover of Suncorp, May Be Positive for ANZ After All
- The ACCC has decided not to authorize the ANZ takeover of Suncorp-Metway Bank
- Can be positive for ANZ without executive risk, integration costs, unknown new risks
- Differentiator ANZ to peers its islessor exposure to Australia, and better credit metrics
Taste Gourmet (8371 HK)
- With that out of the way, let’s dive into Taste Gourmet, a catering group listed in the secondary market (or GEM board) of the Hong Kong Stock Exchange.
- Catering is usually a business with little moat, characterised by low barriers to entry.
- While some brands are widely recognizable, humans generally want to devour something different each day, therefore it is an everyday struggle for restaurants to stand out among competition.
Toyota to Ramp Up Electric Car Push in China With R&D Revamp
- Toyota Motor Corp., the world’s biggest car seller, has announced plans to consolidate its research and development (R&D) resources in China and ramp up its focus on electric vehicles (EVs), as it attempts to revive stalling sales in the highly competitive market.
- The Japanese automaker said on Monday it would change the name of its largest R&D facility in China from Toyota Motor Engineering & Manufacturing (China) Co. Ltd. to Intelligent ElectroMobility R&D Center by TOYOTA (China) Co. Ltd., and consolidate engineers from its three China ventures into the newly named facility based in Changshu, Jiangsu province.
- Among other plans, it would also strengthen local development of electrified vehicles (EVs) including battery, hybrid and plug-in hybrid models and accelerate the development of an electric powertrain with its two biggest suppliers, Denso Corp. and Aisin Corp., the company said.
Amazon 2Q’23 Earnings Update
- 3P, subscription, and AWS grew by mid to high teen while ad segment increased by 20%+
- The mix-shift from product to services in Amazon continues as services mix increased from ~40% in 2018 to ~60% in 2023.
- Let’s start more segment level discussion with AWS.
Ideanomics Inc.: 4 Major Drivers That Are Taking The Company Forward! – Financial Forecasts
- Ideanomics had a strong quarter.
- Solectrac and Energica, in particular, demonstrated strong growth and demand in the agriculture and motorcycle markets.
- Ideanomics remains committed to its capital investment for future profitability, with an optimistic outlook driven by the increasing demand for the company’s products and services.
TPL: Not Just Oil and Gas Story Anymore
- TPL captured more water business in the second quarter than the Company had previously achieved leading to revenue and earnings exceeding our expectations
- The water business has been a revenue source smoothing out the volatility associated with the movement in oil and gas prices and production levels
- While TPL is not expecting to repeat second quarter levels in the third quarter, the water business should continue to perform better than previously expected
UPDATE NOTE – AdTheorent Holding Company, Inc.
2Q23 revenue of $37.6 million was above consensus of $36.4 million.
The challenging advertising market conditions have continued but EPS of $0.09 was significantly ahead of consensus of a loss of $0.01.
The company (which has no debt) has more than $73 million in cash and reaffirmed its full-year guidance.
ASRT: Generic Risk Extends Timeline, PT $6
- ASRT reported better than expected second quarter revenue, but surprised investors with the announcement of a generic competitor for Indocin leading to management pulling guidance.
- Indocin has been on the market for many years and generic competition was likely. Yet, there is no information on how well the competitor could manufacture enough indomethacin
- We do not believe the third quarter is at risk and we doubt more generic competitors would surface.
Canacol Energy – Increasing activity
Canacol Energy issued an operational update on 3 August that included gas sales and drilling plans. July 2023 gas sales were 197mmcf/day, in line with sales a year earlier. However, perhaps more importantly, the group is mobilising two additional rigs to increase production capacity to meet potential higher demand due to the emerging El Niño effect.