Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.18) – TCM Formula Granules VBP and more

In today’s briefing:

  • China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.18) – TCM Formula Granules VBP, Global Financing Rebound, CR Sanjiu
  • Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): Sale of Retail Generic Portfolio Shifts Focus on US Women’s Health and Derma
  • [Bilibili(BILI US, SELL, TP US$12.3) Review]: E-Commerce Ads Aren’t Sufficient to Hide Other Issues


China Healthcare Weekly (Aug.18) – TCM Formula Granules VBP, Global Financing Rebound, CR Sanjiu

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • For a considerable period of time, the industry has been speculating about when the large-scale VBP of TCM formula granules will officially begin. Now, here it comes. 
  • Primary market and other financing except IPO in European and US biopharma industry shows a significant signal of recovery. However, IPOs remain stagnant. 
  • We analyzed key points about China Resources Sanjiu. Sanjiu is expected to have better performance in 2023 than 2022, but we advise investors to allow a sufficient margin of safety.

Mayne Pharma (MYX AU): Sale of Retail Generic Portfolio Shifts Focus on US Women’s Health and Derma

By Tina Banerjee

  • Mayne Pharma (MYX AU) divested its retail generic portfolio. The divestment is part of the transformation strategy which refocused the company on the U.S. women’s healthcare and dermatology markets.
  • Mayne Pharma will announce FY23 result on August 25. With business restructuring and cost management, the company is expected to cut net loss significantly and turn EBITDA positive from FY24.
  • Mayne Pharma announced a share buyback for up to 10% of issued capital, which will be funded through cash reserves. As of April 30, Mayne Pharma held A$239M in cash.

[Bilibili(BILI US, SELL, TP US$12.3) Review]: E-Commerce Ads Aren’t Sufficient to Hide Other Issues

By Shawn Yang

  • BILI reported 2Q23 top-line in-line and non-GAAP net profit 7% better than consensus.  However, gaming revenue was weak, causing BILI to revise down its full-year revenue guidance.
  • We believe e-commerce ads could become a new near-term driving force, but the rapid growth of game-related ads might fade post-Q3. 
  • Also, the significant consolidation of ACG games could affect BILI’s future game performance. We maintain our US$ 12.3 TP and SELL rating.

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