Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stocks Update (July 15) and more

In today’s briefing:

  • BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stocks Update (July 15)
  • Money Forward (3994) | Metronomic Growth
  • Wasion (3393): Smart Power Meter
  • DCI Indonesia (DCII IJ) – More Than a Concept
  • Vega’s Lowya Expanding Omnichannel to Grow Audience
  • China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) – Negative Growth in 24H1 Seems Inevitable
  • APAC Luxury Industry Series Update: Travel Rebounds While Goods Decline
  • Centurion CEO Kong Chee Min adds to interest at S$0.59 per share
  • BRBY: New CEO & Yet More Bad News for the Troubled Retailer
  • Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical (4530 JP): Mixed Performance in Q1FY25; No Change in FY25 Guidance


BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Stocks Update (July 15)

By David Mudd

  • Hong Kong market still trades at a substantial discount to Analyst year end price targets.
  • Budweiser APAC is dependent on China’s consumer to lift sales while Anta Sports is targeting increased sales from the upcoming Paris Olympics.
  • Sunny Optical is seeing substantial growth from it EV segment and Haitian continues to grow its international sales.  Shineway RX is a rare value play in the pharmaceutical sector.

Money Forward (3994) | Metronomic Growth

By Mark Chadwick

  • Money Forward released Q2 results post market close on Friday. Revenue growth of +41% YoY beat our estimates by 7%.
  • We highlight continued solid financial metrics supported by growth in SaaS ARR and in particular mid-sized corporate growth.
  • No change to our bullish long-term view on the company. Stock has run up around 11% ahead of earnings but we see further 20%+ upside from here. 

Wasion (3393): Smart Power Meter

By Henry Soediarko

  • Energy is scarce, thus, besides renewable energy, energy efficiency should also be the key focus. 
  • Wasion Group Holdings (3393 HK) customers have grown from domestic grids to both non-grid and grid domestic as well as overseas customers (Latin America). 
  • Despite a 65% YTD return, it is still trading at 11x PER, with a 4% dividend yield, 6x EV/EBITDA, and 1.2x PBR. 

DCI Indonesia (DCII IJ) – More Than a Concept

By Angus Mackintosh

  • DCI Indonesia (DCII IJ) is Indonesia’s leading operator of Tier 4 data centres, which require the highest operational standards, with its main business in co-location services.
  • The company has a long track record of growth in both sales and profits, making it more than a concept, with a well-thought-out expansion at its three existing data centres.
  • DCI Indonesia is hard to justify on current valuations but has a strong track record on execution with a high pedigree management team and customer base, with backing from Salim.

Vega’s Lowya Expanding Omnichannel to Grow Audience

By Michael Causton

  • Lowya began as an online furniture retailer and is still one of the largest in e-commerce, but limited brand awareness has held it back and sales fell last year. 
  • Vega Corporation, Lowya’s parent, is now expanding physical stores and offering omnichannel solutions to fix the problem.
  • This makes sense in a market where stores remain preeminent and are likely to remain so.

China Shineway Pharmaceutical (2877.HK) – Negative Growth in 24H1 Seems Inevitable

By Xinyao (Criss) Wang

  • Three business segments of Shineway showed negative YoY growth in 24Q1. 24Q2 performance could remain sluggish. We’re not optimistic about the 24H1 results due to the high base in 23H1.
  • It is expected that Shineway’s growth in 24H2 would pick up. If revenue growth of Shineway in 2024 full-year could be double-digit (e.g. 10-15% YoY), it is already good.
  • Shineway is undervalued. It has sufficient cash (cash balance of RMB5.9 billion by 2023) and is willing to distribute dividends (usually twice a year). Shineway is suitable for long-term holding.

APAC Luxury Industry Series Update: Travel Rebounds While Goods Decline

By Oshadhi Kumarasiri


Centurion CEO Kong Chee Min adds to interest at S$0.59 per share

By Geoff Howie

  • Centurion CEO Kong Chee Min adds to interest at S$0.59 per share CapitaLand Investment led the buyback consideration tally, acquiring 8,312,600 shares at an average price of S$2.64 per share.
  • On Jul 4, Centurion Corp CEO Kong Chee Min acquired 115,000 shares, at an average price of S$0.59 cents per share.

BRBY: New CEO & Yet More Bad News for the Troubled Retailer

By Investment Talk

  • It was hard to imagine a worse first quarter for Burberry.
  • At a time when investors were desperate for some positive news following a torrentially bad fiscal 2024, Burberry’s Q1 trading update emphasised a “luxury market that is proving more challenging than expected” with the weakness highlighted coming into FY25 having “deepened” .
  • Retail revenue for the quarter of £458 million came in 22% below the prior year.

Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical (4530 JP): Mixed Performance in Q1FY25; No Change in FY25 Guidance

By Tina Banerjee

  • Hisamitsu Pharmaceutical Co (4530 JP) has reported double-digit growth in revenue and net profit in Q1FY25. However, operating profit decreased 5% YoY due to higher expenses.  
  • Topline growth was mainly driven by Salonpas, which was named the world’s no. 1 OTC topical analgesic patch band for the eighth consecutive year.  
  • The company reiterated FY25 guidance of 7% revenue growth and low double-digit operating and net profit growth, as an increase in operating profit is expected for the full-year as planned.

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