Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: BBL : Sustaining Growth Amid Uncertainty and more

In today’s briefing:

  • BBL : Sustaining Growth Amid Uncertainty
  • Micron Technology Inc.: FValue Proposition, EUV Upside, i400 MicroSD Launch & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)
  • Nagacorp: Six Month 2022 Results Validate Bullish Outlook for Year as Pandemic Wanes in Cambodia
  • SCB : Recovery Amidst Rising Global Risks
  • Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.: Digital Transformation, The Partnership With Adobe Expand, Strategy & Key Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)
  • Paychex Inc.: Revenue Model, Product Enhancements, Switching Costs & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)
  • General Mills Inc.: Focus On Innovation & Future Trends, The TNT Crust Acquisition & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)
  • McCormick & Company: Growth Story, Market Position, Cost Advantage & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)

BBL : Sustaining Growth Amid Uncertainty

By Pi Research

  • Maintain BUY for BBL with a target price of Bt159. withstand uncertainty, sustainable profit growth, potential benefits from an upcycle of interest rates, and undemanding valuation. BBL’s 2Q22 net profit
  • 2Q22 results BBL reported a net profit of Bt7.0bn in 2Q22, up 10% YoY           (-2% QoQ), which was 6% lower than expected on higher provisions. The YoY rise was supported
  • Lending growth in 2Q22 increased by 2.5% QoQ due to large corporate loans and loans made through the international network.The NPL ratio slightly increased to 3.4% and the coverage ratio 

Micron Technology Inc.: FValue Proposition, EUV Upside, i400 MicroSD Launch & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)

By Ishan Majumdar

  • Micron Technology delivered a decent quarter matching Wall Street expectations in terms of revenues but delivered an earnings beat.
  • The company’s performance has been driven by the forte in DRAM shipments to game, console, PC, and cloud customers.
  • Among new launches, Micron recently announced the launch of the i400 microSD card and partnership programs with IQ (Industrial Quotient).

Nagacorp: Six Month 2022 Results Validate Bullish Outlook for Year as Pandemic Wanes in Cambodia

By Howard J Klein

  • We have long been fans of this company due to its record of sound management decisions and asset allocation moves to expand steadily against demand.
  • Six month results support our thesis that ASEAN casinos that have reopened are re-ramping revenues apace as Macau remains dead pooled by Beijing zero tolerance covid policies.
  • At its current price we see mounting sentiment to the upside as sequential earnings improvements y.y can be expected in Qs 3 and 4.

SCB : Recovery Amidst Rising Global Risks

By Pi Research

  • Maintain BUY for SCB with a target price of Bt139.00. SCB’s 2Q22 net profit came in line with our expectation of Bt10bn (+14% YoY, -1% QoQ). Asset quality remained resilient 
  • Analyst meeting We are neutral after attending the analyst meeting on 21 July. SCB adjusted some2022 financial guidance to reflect its 1H22 performance and potential effects on the economic environment.
  • Despite the volatility in the cryptocurrency market,SCB would continue to pursue its business expansion in digital asset businesses.  SCB mentioned that it had minimal cryptocurrency exposure of less than US$1m.

Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc.: Digital Transformation, The Partnership With Adobe Expand, Strategy & Key Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)

By Ishan Majumdar

  • Walgreens Boots Alliance is off to a strong start to the year with growth in first-quarter sales and adjusted earnings, a performance that was beyond Wall Street experience.
  • The company had a particularly strong quarter online, which includes purchasing online pickup in-store.
  • We provide the stock of Walgreens Boots Alliance with a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.

Paychex Inc.: Revenue Model, Product Enhancements, Switching Costs & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)

By Ishan Majumdar

  • Paychex had a strong quarter with growth driven by strong retention and sales.
  • The company delivered an all-around beat surpassing market expectations and there was an increase in total revenue as well as service revenue.
  • We provide the stock of Paychex Inc. a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.

General Mills Inc.: Focus On Innovation & Future Trends, The TNT Crust Acquisition & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)

By Ishan Majumdar

  • General Mills had a decent start to 2022 and its last quarter was another all-around beat.
  • Most of the media spend is now digital and General Mills is leveraging the same to build a solid databank that can be helpful in improved customer targeting.
  • We provide the stock of General Mills a ‘Hold’ rating with a revision in the target price.

McCormick & Company: Growth Story, Market Position, Cost Advantage & Other Drivers, Financial Forecasts, DCF & Comparables Valuation, ESG & Other Risks (07/22)

By Ishan Majumdar

  • McCormick had a disappointing quarterly result as it failed to meet Wall Street expectations despite the fact that its revenues showed both volume and pricing growth.
  • The growth of the company in flavor solutions was decent but supply chain and high-cost inflation are continuing challenges for the company.
  • In EMEA, McCormick continues to have a robust share performance in most markets and categories.

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