In today’s briefing:
- Asian Equities: Twenty Inexpensive Consistent Compounders
- Semiconductor Sales Reaccelerating, AI Accelerators Accelerating: AMD, AVGO, NVDA, SK Hynix, TSMC
- Geely (175 HK): Turning from PHEV to BEV
- Episode 96: The State of Intel Post Pat G, Product Roadmap focus, Foundries Strategic Value
- Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Dec-2024): TSMC Nov revenue decline less than expected, annual rev up by 30%.
- The Beat Ideas: Popular Vehicles & Services, Cheapest Among Dealership Business
- The Beat Ideas: Innova Captab Ltd, Jammu Capex Kicker, Margin Expansion
- Blueprint Medicines: Expanding International Market Footprint For A Potentially Unmatched Revenue Impact? – Major Drivers
- Eneabba: A $2b Disaster in Waiting?
- Bio-Rad Laboratories: Digital PCR Platform Expansion &3 Critical Factors Driving Our Optimism! – Financial Forecasts
Asian Equities: Twenty Inexpensive Consistent Compounders
- Consistent compounders, stocks with steady earnings growth and excess returns over a long period of time, are difficult to find. It’s even more difficult to find reasonably valued compounders.
- From the universe of large Asian companies, we screen those with steady profit growth (>10%) and excess returns in each of last 10 years and over next three forecast years.
- Our list of 20 inexpensive compounders comprises 10 from onshore China, 5 from HK, 3 from India and 1 each from Japan and the Philippines.
Semiconductor Sales Reaccelerating, AI Accelerators Accelerating: AMD, AVGO, NVDA, SK Hynix, TSMC
- The Semiconductor industry associations report re-accelerating Semi sales, and increase 2024-25 forecasts. This is due to higher AI / Accelerators, HBM Memory but the rest of the market remains sluggish
- TSMC remains on its high growth plateau at 34% YoY, driven by AI and 3nm. UMC remains on a sluggish recovery at 7% YoY.
- AMD, Nvidia, SK Hynix, TSMC: stocks are not expensive on PE relative to earnings growth. Non-Consensus: we think AMD and SK Hynix are worth a serious look.
Geely (175 HK): Turning from PHEV to BEV
- Geely’s sales volume grew by 27% YoY in November 2024.
- BEV delivery growth rate accelerated to 173% YoY in November from 26% YoY in July.
- Geely’s forward financial ratios are lower than its major competitors.
Episode 96: The State of Intel Post Pat G, Product Roadmap focus, Foundries Strategic Value
- The Circuit podcast discusses the uncertainty surrounding Intel’s future leadership and strategic direction
- Ben and Jay analyze the board’s role in Intel’s challenges and debate the company’s path forward
- The podcast ends on a hopeful note, with Jay expressing optimism about Intel’s 14A technology and the potential for success in the future
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Tech Supply Chain Tracker (11-Dec-2024): TSMC Nov revenue decline less than expected, annual rev up by 30%.
- TSMC’s November revenue decline was better than expected, poised for nearly 30% annual revenue growth.
- SK Hynix restructures CIS organization to replicate HBM success model, aiming for improved performance.
- TSMC founder sheds light on reasons behind Samsung and Intel’s setbacks, pointing out core issues. YMTC refutes backdoor listing rumors, facing industry scrutiny; while Samsung explores using discrete LPDDR for AI-driven iPhones and China investigates Nvidia amid US-China chip tensions.
The Beat Ideas: Popular Vehicles & Services, Cheapest Among Dealership Business
- Popular Vehicles and Services (PVSL IN) are available at a 50% discount since IPO and available at 25%
- PVSL plans to enter two new states by June 2025 and open multiple new facilities, including a NEXA Studio and service centers in Maharashtra and Kerala.
- PVSL’s focus on geographic expansion, high-margin segments, and inventory normalization enhances its growth potential, making it a compelling value play with room for significant re-rating in the near future.
The Beat Ideas: Innova Captab Ltd, Jammu Capex Kicker, Margin Expansion
- Innova Captab (1605221D IN)’s New Jammu facility to be commercialized by Q3 FY25, expanding capacity and product range.
- Strong order pipeline, diversified segments (CDMO, branded generics), and high-margin segments to drive profitability.
- Aiming for 25-30% revenue CAGR and 4-5% margin expansion in upcoming years.
Blueprint Medicines: Expanding International Market Footprint For A Potentially Unmatched Revenue Impact? – Major Drivers
- Blueprint Medicines Corporation, during its third quarter of 2024 financial results presentation, highlighted both promising developments and ongoing challenges.
- The company reported robust revenue growth, primarily driven by the performance of AYVAKIT, which achieved $128.2 million in net product revenue, marking a 137% year-over-year increase.
- This strong performance led the company to raise its annual revenue guidance to between $475 million and $480 million, positioning AYVAKIT on track for substantial long-term revenue, potentially exceeding $2 billion.
Eneabba: A $2b Disaster in Waiting?
- The funding package between Iluka Resources and the government was finalized, leading to a 10% market decline
- Iluka Resources planned to build a Rare Earths refinery in Enneba with the assistance of a $1.05 billion non recourse loan from the Australian government
- Iluka also had plans to process their Wimmera deposit through the refinery, despite challenges with separation and impurities causing delays in development.
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Bio-Rad Laboratories: Digital PCR Platform Expansion &3 Critical Factors Driving Our Optimism! – Financial Forecasts
- Bio-Rad Laboratories, Inc. presented a mixed set of results for the third quarter of 2024, reflecting ongoing challenges and some positive developments across its business segments.
- The company reported net sales of $650 million, a 2.8% increase from the previous year on a reported basis, attributed largely to its Clinical Diagnostics segment.
- On a currency-neutral basis, sales increased by 3.4% year-over-year, driven primarily by a 6.4% increase in the Clinical Diagnostics group led by strong demand for quality control products, especially in the Asia Pacific region.