Daily BriefsEquity Bottom-Up

Daily Brief Equity Bottom-Up: Alibaba (9988 HK): 3Q24 and more

In today’s briefing:

  • Alibaba (9988 HK): 3Q24, Unimpressive as Expected, But Turning Focus from Margin to Growth
  • Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) – Going Places!
  • Pair Trade:  L’Oreal / Shiseido
  • Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Setting the Pace in 2024
  • The Walt Disney Company (DIS): Part 1
  • KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance
  • American Airlines: Corporate Recovery and Shift to Internet-based Channels! – Major Drivers
  • Bv Financial Inc (BVFL) – Monday, Nov 6, 2023
  • KLA Corporation: Leading Edge Investments and Memory Conversions & Other Major Drivers
  • Himax: Industry Readthrough for Automotives, Notebooks, and Edge AI Applications


Alibaba (9988 HK): 3Q24, Unimpressive as Expected, But Turning Focus from Margin to Growth

By Ming Lu

  • Alibaba’s revenue grew by 5% YoY and its operating margin improved by 2 percentage points YoY in 3Q24.
  • We believe the company turned its focus from margin improvement to revenue growth.
  • We set the upside at 20% and the price target at HK$90 for March 2025. Buy.

Japan Post Holdings (6178.T) – Going Places!

By Rikki Malik

  • A company that is geared to Japan’s macro revival with additional micro catalysts. 
  • Ownership of financial companies which are set to benefit from a normalisation of Japanese monetary policy.
  • The low Price to Book means the company will need to keep up momentum on its capital management plans to  stay in the Prime Section of Topix.

Pair Trade:  L’Oreal / Shiseido

By Steve Zhou, CFA

  • L’Oreal SA (OR FP) is the largest beauty company in the world, with a 15% global market share.  The second place in contrast has only around 5% market share. 
  • The company has been excellently managed, and out-performed the overall global beauty industry growth by an average of 5% over the last 3 years.  However, growth could be slowing down.
  • L’Oreal is now trading at 34x forward PE, which is a near 100% premium over the average of European consumer staples, and near a multi-decade high. 

Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) – Setting the Pace in 2024

By Angus Mackintosh

  • Bank Mandiri (BMRI IJ) stood out from its peers with higher loan growth and lower cost of credit with PPOP growth of +17.3% YoY and its ROE reaching 23%. 
  • The bank experienced a slight decline in NIM in 4Q2023 but asset quality remains solid and its digital initiatives continue to reduce costs and attract new users.
  • Bank Mandiri‘s guidance for 2024 is more positive than peers for loan growth, as it continues to push out its value chain lending strategy into higher-yielding segments. Valuations remain attractive.

The Walt Disney Company (DIS): Part 1

By Value Punks

  • Not so long ago, Disney’s share price was nearing the $200 mark, despite the pandemic’s severe impact on its Parks and Resorts business.
  • Fast forward to the present, and even with the parks posting record results, Disney’s share price has fallen to levels not seen in a decade, raising the question: what happened?
  • Several factors are at play, including challenges within the studio arm, ongoing decline of its legacy media operations, and Big Tech’s incursion into sports media.

KPIT: On Track to Beat the FY24 Raised Guidance

By Ankit Agrawal, CFA

  • Despite upping the FY24 guidance in the prior quarter (Q2FY24), KPIT is confident of beating even the raised guidance, led by strong Q3FY24 performance and an upbeat outlook.
  • Despite accelerated revenue in H1FY24 from the Honda engagement, Q3FY24 saw robust revenue growth of 4.3% QoQ in CC terms. EBITDA margin expanded to 20.6% vs 20% QoQ. 
  • KPIT’s new venture, Qorix, is coming along well and could prove to be transformative. This could enable KPIT to become a product company, alongside being a high-growth service company.

American Airlines: Corporate Recovery and Shift to Internet-based Channels! – Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • The American Airlines Group reported adjusted pretax profit of $257 million for the fourth quarter and approximately $2.5 billion for the full year 2023.
  • This result was driven by the strength of the network, demand for products, and execution by the team.
  • Positive indications from the group include historically strong operation with the production of record free cash flow and a strengthened balance sheet through debt reduction.

Bv Financial Inc (BVFL) – Monday, Nov 6, 2023

By Value Investors Club

Key points (machine generated)

  • BV Financial recently completed its conversion from a mutual holding company to a full-converted stock company.
  • The bank has consistently achieved a return on equity of 10-11% in recent years.
  • Despite its significant growth, BV Financial’s securities represent only 5% of its total assets of $933 million.

This article is sourced from an online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.


KLA Corporation: Leading Edge Investments and Memory Conversions & Other Major Drivers

By Baptista Research

  • KLA Corporation saw a revenue of nearly $9.7 billion in 2023, marking a decrease of 8% compared to the previous year.
  • Despite less leading-edge investment in both logic and memory, legacy node customers and the semiconductor infrastructure assisted in exceeding the initially projected revenue.
  • Business segments such as automotive, specialty semiconductor process equipment, and infrastructure for wafer and mass manufactures experienced growth in 2023.

Himax: Industry Readthrough for Automotives, Notebooks, and Edge AI Applications

By Vincent Fernando, CFA

  • Readthrough: Automotive Applications End-Demand — China Market Soft But Touch and Dimming Technology is Expanding
  • Readthrough: Panel Makers Constraining Supply in 1Q24 to Protect Pricing
  • Readthrough: Customers Are Restocking Notebooks in 1Q24E, PC Replacement Cycle is Coming

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