In today’s briefing:
- Rio lights up the junior copper market
- Flow Trading Setup Triggered by Korea Zinc’s 21%p Float Rate Cut in KOSPI 200
- What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 6 December (Shell | InPost | BAM Group | Black Friday update)
- Balancing The Scales: EUDR’s Evolving Impact On The Rubber Market
- OPEC+ Extending Output Cuts Highlights Concerns of Weak Demand and Ample Supply
- ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Reflections on Welchau
- Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- HighPeak Energy, Inc.: – New Completions Further Derisk Acreage
Rio lights up the junior copper market
- Rio Tinto sold 30% of its Winu project to Sumitomo for $400 million, surprising many with the valuation
- Expecting a PFS in 2025 for a 10 million tonne per annum scenario for the Winu project
- The partnership with Sumitomo signifies the rise of Japan and South Korea in the mining industry and may benefit Rio Tinto in terms of capital allocation and project development.
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Flow Trading Setup Triggered by Korea Zinc’s 21%p Float Rate Cut in KOSPI 200
- Korea Zinc’s free float is dropping from 52% to 31%, a 21%p cut.
- Despite rising volume, retail still dominates. With this trend continuing, the 80,000-share sell volume is unlikely to get buried without triggering noticeable price moves.
- Ahead of big one-day flow events, shorts are loaded, causing a dip. On rebalance day, traders buy back, triggering a bounce. This event is likely to follow the same pattern.
What’s New(s) in Amsterdam – 6 December (Shell | InPost | BAM Group | Black Friday update)
- In this edition: • Shell | gas joint venture with Equinor in the UK • InPost | Yodel hit by festive capacity crisis • BAM Group | awarded contracts for HS2 in the UK • Black Friday update | Cyber Monday was the busiest day for the parcel logistics providers
Balancing The Scales: EUDR’s Evolving Impact On The Rubber Market
- FAQ and guidance documents bring clarity
- Synthetic rubber out of the purview of EUDR
- Allows for rubber suppliers in countries like Vietnam and Indonesia to catch up
OPEC+ Extending Output Cuts Highlights Concerns of Weak Demand and Ample Supply
- OPEC+ extends crude oil supply cuts to the end of 2026, a year longer than planned. It also pushed its planned output hikes by three months to April 2025.
- OPEC+ revised its output hike plan, reducing monthly increases to 138k bpd over 18 months, down from 180k bpd over 12 months.
- OPEC+ approved a 300k bpd output increase for the UAE, starting in April 2025 through September 2026, delayed from the original January 2025 start.
ADX Energy (ASX: ADX): Reflections on Welchau
- • Three intervals in the Reifling formation (1324 m – 1340 m, 1346 m – 1351 m and 1358 m -1382 m MD) were perforated but only limited inflow was determined.
- No fluid could reach the surface after the well was shut in.
- • Sampling of the well indicated only completion brine (not reservoir fluid) and fine solid particles of unknown origin.
Lucror Analytics – Morning Views Asia
- In today’s Morning Views publication we comment on developments of the following high yield issuers: Delta Dunia Makmur, Gajah Tunggal
- In the US, the trade deficit narrowed to USD 73.8 bn in October (USD 75.0 bn e / USD 83.8 bn revised). Imports fell 4% to USD 339.6 bn, while exports declined 1.6% to USD 265.7 bn.
- Separately, initial jobless claims for the week ended November 30th rose to 224 k (215 k e / 215 k revised p). The focus today is on the November nonfarm payrolls report.
HighPeak Energy, Inc.: – New Completions Further Derisk Acreage
- Management estimates that HighPeak’s D,C,E,&F costs are ~$2 million lower for a well that recovers a similar volume of oil than the average central Midland Basin well.
- The combination highlights the return proposition for HighPeak’s acreage, as recovering similar oil volumes for less than 75% of the D,C,E,&F cost equates to a capital-efficient asset base.
- New wells drilled during 2024 in the northern and northeastern extension areas have expanded Flat Top’s development core, adding new inventory.